EPL 2023/24 Matchweek 23 – Betting tips & Predictions

EPL Matchweek 23
EPL 2023/24 Matchweek 23

We’re heading into one of the most important stretches of the Premier League season. The teams at the top are beginning to separate themselves from the rest of the pack and the relegation race is tighter than ever. To help you get ready for all the action, we’ve picked the best bets for every game this weekend.  
Keep reading to see our EPL Matchweek 23 best bets, betting tips, and predictions for every big game this weekend, including picks for Arsenal vs. Liverpool.

Matchweek 23 Fixtures

Everton vs. Tottenham

Goodison Park, 11:30 PM, Saturday, February 3 

Everton are in 18th place and have not won a league match since mid-December. Despite that, the betting sites love the Toffees. In our betting experts’ opinion, Sean Dyche’s side is regularly overvalued by soccer betting sites. This is definitely the case this week.  
Tottenham are fourth in the table, on a seven-match unbeaten streak in the Premier League, and beat Everton 2-1 last month. All these things are true, but Tottenham are only slight favourites against the Toffees.  
You can back Spurs at greater than $2.00 odds at most top Australian betting sites. This is great value considering the difference in quality between these teams. Yes, Everton are playing at home, but don’t  let this sway you.  
The Toffees are averaging just 1.00 points per match at home this season. On the road, they are averaging 1.55 points per match, so playing at Goodison hasn’t actually been that much of an advantage this season. 

Tottenham To WIN $2.30
Tottenham To WIN $2.30
Tottenham To WIN $2.29

Predicted Lineups

Everton: Pickford; Patterson, Tarkowski, Branthwaite, Mykolenko; Young, Garner, Onana, McNeil, Harrison; Calvert-Lewin 
Tottenham: Vicario; Porro, Romero, Van De Ven, Udogie; Skipp, Bentancur, Maddison; Kulusevski, Richarlison, Werner 

Brighton vs. Crystal Palace

American Express Stadium, 2:00 AM, Sunday, February 4 

These two bitter rivals have drawn four of their last five Premier League matches. Each of those draws have been 1-1 draws. Both sets of fans are desperate for this fixture to finally deliver on the hype it gets every time it shows up on the schedule. Will Matchweek 23 live up to the hype? Unfortunately, our EPL betting experts think no.  
Brighton have not scored in three Premier League matches. Without Kaoru Mitoma and Simon Adingra on the wings, we don’t see this streak ending against Palace. To be fair, Palace scored three goals against Sheffield United in Matchweek 22. It will be a big ask to do that again though away at Brighton.  
We’re backing a 0-0 or 1-1 draw in this one.  

UNDER 2.5 Goals $2.12
Both Teams To Score - YES $1.75
Crystal Palace +1.5 $1.43

Predicted Lineups

Brighton: Verbruggen; Hinshelwood, Van Hecke, Dunk, Estupinan; Gross, Baleba, Gilmour; Buonanotte, Welbeck, Pedro 
Crystal Palace: Henderson; Clyne, Andersen, Guehi, Mitchell; Richards, Lerma; Ayew, Eze, Schlupp; Mateta 

Burnley vs. Fulham

Turf Moor, 2:00 AM, Sunday, February 4

Fulham’s signing of Armando Broja was the biggest EPL deadline day signing. The Cottagers secured the Chelsea striker on loan for the rest of the season. He probably won’t be put into the starting lineup right away. That’s alright because we don’t think Fulham will need him against Burnley.  
Vincent Kompany’s side have continued to plough on with their brave strategy of playing through the back. Fulham, meanwhile, are a very versatile side who do best against sides who come at them as opposed to sitting back.  
Stylistically, we see this match going heavily in Fulham’s favour. With that being said, both these teams are on poor runs of form and Burnley are playing at home, so wouldn’t blame you for backing a draw or even taking a punt on a Burnley win here.  

Draw No Bet - Fulham$1.70
Draw No Bet - Fulham $1.70
Double Chance 2 - Fulham WIN or DRAW $1.41

Predicted Lineups

Burnley: Trafford; Vitinho, O’Shea, Beyer, Taylor; Berge, Brownhill; Gudmundsson, Amdouni, Odobert; Rodriguez 
Fulham: Leno; Castagne, Tosin, Diop, Robinson; Palhinha, Cairney; Decordova-Reid, Pereira, Willian; Muniz 

Newcastle vs. Luton Town

St. James' Park, 2:00 AM, Sunday, February 4

Luton Town bagged a surprising, dominating victory against Brighton last week. The Hatters scored two  goals in the opening three minutes of the match. They didn’t let up from there and scored another two goals to beat the Seagulls 4-0.  
Playing away at Newcastle will be a much bigger challenge for Luton. Eddie Howe’s side are having a down year, but they rarely lose at home. The Magpies have one of the best records in the league when playing at St. James' Park. With Callum Wilson potentially coming back in this match as well, we don’t see Newcastle losing this one.  
However, fatigue has been a constant problem for Newcastle this season, so don’t be surprised if this ends up being a tighter match than you’d expect given the short turnaround between match weeks. 

Newcastle To WIN $1.40
Anytime Goal Scorer - Gordon $2.65
Luton Town +1.5$1.70

Predicted Lineups

Newcastle: Dubravka; Trippier, Schar, Botman, Burn; Miley, Guimaraes, Longstaff; Almiron, Isak, Gordon 
Luton Town: Kaminski; Mengi, Osho, Bell; Ogbene, Barkley, Lokanga, Doughty; Townsend, Adebayo, Morris

Sheffield United vs. Aston Villa

Bramall Lane, 4:30 AM, Sunday, February 4

Aston Villa will be dying to come back strong after their disappointing 3-1 defeat to Newcastle last week. Unai Emery’s men have won just one of their last five matches, and have slipped from fringe title contenders down to potential top four challengers.  
Sheffield United meanwhile, put up a brave fight in a 3-2 loss to Crystal Palace at Selhurst Park on Wednesday. The Blades scored in under a minute and looked like they were going to get something from the match for most of it. It wasn’t to be though, and Sheffield United suffered yet another loss.  
To Sheffield United’s credit, they’ve scored multiple goals in five of their last six matches. They're bound to get another Premier League win on the board soon, but it won’t be this week. Aston Villa should win this one easily.  

Aston Villa To WIN$1.58
Both Teams To Score - NO $2.15
Aston Villa -1.5 $2.56

Predicted Lineups

Sheff Utd: Grbic; Bogle, Ahmedhodzic, Robinson, Trusty; Hamer, Souza, Brooks; McAtee, Osula, Brereton 
Aston Villa: Martinez; Ngoyo, Carlos, Lenglet, Moreno; Bailey, Kamara, Luiz, McGinn, Tielemans; Watkins 

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Bournemouth vs. Nottingham Forest

Vitality Stadium, 1:00 AM, Monday, February 5

Nottingham Forest invested big in the January window. They brought American international Gio Reyna from Dortmund and Sporting CP’s Rodrigo Ribeiro in on loan. It’s probably too early for these young attackers to start, but they might get a run out against Bournemouth.  
The Cherries stood pat in the January transfer window, making just one signing, and will be coming into this match with pretty much their normal side. Well, their normal side minus Dango Ouattara, who is still at the AFCON with Ivory Coast.  
Even with Forest’s additions, you have to back Bournemouth to get a win here. The Cherries are better coached, more talented, and have a genuine goal scorer in Domininc Solanke, which is something Forest are missing right now. When you add in how bad the Reds are away from home, this should be a comfortable victory for Bournemouth. 

Both Teams To Score - YES $1.63
Bournemouth To WIN$1.65
Bournemouth To WIN$1.67

Predicted Lineups

Bournemouth: Neto; Cook, Zabarnyi, Senesi, Kelly; Christie, Scott; Tavernier, Kluivert, Sinisterra; Solanke 
Nottm Forest: Turner; Montiel, Omobamidele, Murillo, Toffolo; Mangala, Danilo; Dominguez, Gibbs-White, Hudson-Odoi; Wood 

Chelsea vs. Wolves

Stamford Bridge, 1:00 AM, Monday, February 5

Both Chelsea and Wolves showed just how far they are off from the top-tier of the Premier League in their Matchweek 22 fixtures.  
The Blues were outclassed and outgunned by a Liverpool side who were missing Mo Salah and Trent Alexander-Arnold. Wolves, meanwhile, lost to Manchester United, who are in the middle of a crisis at the moment.  
This match will be one both teams should be more comfortable with. Talent-wise, Chelsea have the edge, but their defence really needs addressing. Pochettino has not settled on a solid back four, which makes Chelsea vulnerable against any team.  
The Blues haven’t exactly been great on the other side of the ball either. They’ve scored just two goals in their last three matches against Premier League teams.  
Home-field advantage could see Chelsea win here, but we think a draw is the most likely outcome in this one.

Double Chance 2 - Wolves WIN or DRAW$2.30
UNDER 3.5 Goals$1.45
Wolves +1.5 $1.46

Predicted Lineups

Chelsea: Petrovic; Disasi, Silva, Badiashile, Chilwell; Caicedo, Fernandez; Palmer, Gallagher, Sterling; Madueke 
Wolves: Sa; Kilman, Dawson, Toti; Semedo, Lemina, Doyle, Doherty; Sarabia, Neto, Cunha 

Manchester United vs. West Ham

Old Trafford, 1:00 AM, Monday, February 5

Manchester United continue to get results on the pitch while dealing with drama off of it. The most recent scandal at Old Trafford surrounds Marcus Rashford and his decision to go to a Belfast nightclub one night before training last week. The winger missed training and was left out of Man U’s FA Cup squad against Newport County.  
Rashford scored the Red Devils’ opening goal against Wolves. Rasmus Højlund doubled the lead before Wolves mounted a strong comeback and tied the match 3-3 in the 95th minute. A 97th minute game winner from youngster Kobbie Mainoo got Man U the victory, but it was not easy.  
West Ham also played on Friday. The Hammers drew 1-1 with Bournemouth in a low-key affair.  
Against United, West Ham have to be favourites. David Moyes has already proved once this season that his counter attacking system is perfect to stop Manchester United. We’re expecting another victory on Monday. 

Double Chance 2 - West Ham WIN or DRAW $2.20
Both Teams To Score - YES$1.65
Draw No Bet - West Ham $3.30

Predicted Lineups

Man Utd: Onana; Dalot, Varane, Martinez, Shaw; Mainoo, Casemiro; Garnacho, Fernandes, Rashford; Hojlund 
West Ham: Areola; Johnson, Mavropanos, Zouma, Emerson; Phillips, Soucek, Alvarez; Kudus, Bowen, Ward-Prowse 

Arsenal vs. Liverpool

Emirates Stadium, 3:30 AM, Monday, February 5

This match is by far the biggest game of Matchweek 23. A loss here could see Arsenal drop out of the title race. Man City are right on Liverpool’s tail. If the Reds drop points, the EPL title race could be blown wide open. 
Liverpool easily defeated Arsenal in the FA Cup 2-0 just earlier this month, but recent results between these sides have been close. Two of the last three matches have ended in draws.  
On paper, we’re inclined to say this one will be a draw too, but if you look at how these teams have performed recently, Liverpool to win is the best bet here.  
The Reds have won four straight and are undefeated in their 21 matches in domestic competitions. Arsenal have lost two of their last five EPL matches, and struggled to get a 2-1 win against Nottingham Forest last week. 

OVER 2.5 Goals$1.65
Draw No Bet - Liverpool$2.15
Draw No Bet - Liverpool$2.09

Predicted Lineups

Arsenal: Raya; White, Saliba, Gabriel, Zinchenko; Odegaard, Rice, Havertz; Saka, Jesus, Martinelli 
Liverpool: Alisson; Alexander-Arnold, Konate, Van Dijk, Gomez; Szoboszlai, Mac Allister, Jones; Diaz, Jota, Nunez 

Brentford vs. Manchester City

Gtech Community Stadium, 7:00 AM, Tuesday, February 6 

Manchester City had a nice kickabout with Burnley last week and beat the Clarets 3-1 at home thanks to two goals from Julian Alvarez and a third from Rodri.  
Brentford took an early lead against Tottenham, and rattled James Maddison in the process, last week, before giving up three second half goals to Spurs and losing the match 3-2. That kind of lack of composure will come to bite them against most teams, but against City, it’s a death sentence, especially since Erling Haaland is now back from injury.  
The Norwegian wonderkid made an appearance off the bench for City. He’s expected to start on Tuesday, which is a bad sign for Brentford. This should be a multi-goal City win. 

Man City +1.5$2.15
OVER 2.5 Goals $1.55
OVER 2.5 Goals $1.56

Predicted Lineups

Brentford: Flekken; Collins, Pinnock, Mee; Roerslev, Jensen, Norgaard, Janelt, Lewis-Potter; Maupay, Toney 
Man City: Ederson; Walker, Dias, Ake, Gvardiol; Rodri, Silva; Foden, De Bruyne, Doku; Haaland

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