Liverpool dropped points to Manchester United this week, putting Arsenal at the top of the Premier League table. However, most betting sites still have Manchester City as the real title favourites heading down the stretch. In the relegation zone, Everton got another points deduction, bringing them closer to the drop and Luton got a win bringing them close to getting out of the danger zone.
Get ready for this week’s action with our EPL Matchweek 33 predictions, betting tips, and insights for every big match this weekend.
EPL 2023/24 Matchweek 33
Newcastle vs. Tottenha
St. James' Park, 9:30 PM, Saturday, April 13
Tottenham have made the fourth spot in the Premier League their own after getting a 3-1 win against Nottingham Forest last week. Newcastle, meanwhile, increased their chances of qualifying for European soccer this season after a 1-0 win at Craven Cottage against Fulham.
Spurs completely outclassed Newcastle 4-1 when these teams last played back in December. Before that, the Magpies destroyed Tottenham 6-1. In fact, four out of the last five fixtures between Spurs and Newcastle have featured 5 goals or more. We’re expecting lots of goals this weekend too.
Both Spurs and Newcastle have had some of the leakiest defences in the top half of the table this season. 8/9 Spurs games have had over 2.5 goals or more. Newcastle have a similar record.
Tottenham have more quality and are in better form, so we’re backing them to win. Whatever happens though, expect lots of goals.
| Bookmaker | Tip | Odds |
 | Tottenham WIN & OVER 2.5 Goals | $2.90 |
 | Draw No Bet - TOTTENHAM | $1.80 |
 | OVER 3.5 Goals | $1.88 |
Predicted Lineups
Newcastle: Dubravka; Krafth, Schar, Burn, Hall; Longstaff, Guimaraes, Willock; Barnes, Isak, Gordon
Tottenham: Vicario; Porro, Romero, van de Ven, Udogie; Bissouma, Sarr; Johnson, Maddison, Werner; Son
Brentford vs. Sheffield United
Gtech Community Stadium, 12:00 AM, Sunday, April 14
Brentford have drawn three matches on the bounce. They are in 15th place and probably safe from relegation, but this has been a poor season for the Bees.
Speaking of poor seasons, Sheffield United are in the middle of one. The Blades are 20th in the table with just 16 points, despite their surprising 2-2 draw with Chelsea last week. It would take a miracle for Sheffield United to avoid relegation.
Because things are so dire for the Blades, they have thrown caution to the wind in recent weeks. Both teams have scored in four of their last five matches and each of those five matches have had 4 goals or more.
An open game suits Brentford. Ivan Toney, Bryan Mbeumo, and Yoane Wissa can cause problems for anyone. If Brentford’s defence can avoid giving up easy goals, they should get an easy win here.
| Bookmaker | Tip | Odds |
| OVER 2.5 Goals | $1.50 |
| Both Teams To Score - YES | $1.70 |
| Both Teams To Score - YES | $1.67 |
Predicted Lineups
Brentford: Flekken; Jorgensen, Ajer, Collins; Roerslev, Jensen, Janelt, Damsgaard, Reguilon; Toney, Wissa
Sheff Utd: Grbic; Holgate, Ahmedhodzic, Robinson; Bogle, Hamer, Arblaster, Osborn, Trusty; Brereton-Diaz, McBurnie
Burnley vs. Brighton
Turf Moor, 12:00 AM, Sunday, April 14
Brighton suffered a disappointing defeat to Arsenal last week. Burnley suffered an even greater disappointment after losing 1-0 to Everton.
The Clarets chances of survival are growing slimmer and slimmer by the day. They need a result against Brighton to even dream about staying up. We don’t think they’ll get the result they need.
Burnley stunned Brighton at the Amex earlier in the season and came away with a 1-1 draw. That was very much a fluky result though. That match was the Seagulls’ third match in 7 days and amid an injury crisis. Brighton will be fully rested this time around and desperate for a result.
We’re not going to overthink it with our Burnley vs. Brighton predictions. This will be a win for the Seagulls at Turf Moor.
| Bookmaker | Tip | Odds |
| Brighton To WIN | $1.95 |
| First Team To Score - BRIGHTON | $1.70 |
| Brighton To WIN | $1.93 |
Predicted Lineups
Burnley: Muric; Assignon, Cork, Esteve, Taylor; Foster, Cullen, Berge, Gudmundsson; Odobert, Fofana
Brighton: Verbruggen; Lamptey, van Hecke, Dunk, Estupinan; Baleba, Gross; Buonanotte, Enciso, Adingra; Pedro
Manchester City vs. Luton Town
Etihad Stadium, 12:00 AM, Sunday, April 14
Manchester City are the biggest Premier League title favourites at the soccer betting sites right now. The Cityzens are in third, but have an easier schedule and title pedigree behind them. One of the ‘easy matches’ on Man City’s schedule is this week against Luton Town.
The bookies have this match as the biggest mismatch of EPL Matchweek 33. BoomBet gives the Hatters $7.80 odds of getting a win or draw here. We agree with BoomBet, this is very unlikely.
With all that being said, be wary of any EPL predictions calling for a demolition by City here. Pep Guardiola will likely roll out a rotated side after City’s 3-3 draw against Real Madrid on Wednesday.
This should be a simple 2-0 win for Man City.
| Bookmaker | Tip | Odds |
| UNDER 3.5 Goals | $2.15 |
| UNDER 3.5 Goals | $2.15 |
| Both Teams To Score - NO | $1.67 |
Predicted Lineups
Man City: Ortega; Lewis, Stones, Akanji, Gomez; Nunes, Kovacic; Silva, De Bruyne, Doku; Alvarez
Luton Town: Kaminski; Kabore, Mengi, Burke; Hashioka, Barkley, Clark, Doughty; Townsend, Morris, Chong
Nottingham Forest vs. Wolves
The City Ground, 12:00 AM, Sunday, April 14
Wolves fell victim to a lacklustre West Ham last week. Wolves boss came out after the match saying the referee had made the worst call he’d ever seen to rule out Wolves’ equaliser late in the match. Despite the poor result, Wolves are still within shouting distance of finishing in the top half and even in a European place.
Nottingham Forest, meanwhile, fell off in the second half against Spurs last week and lost 3-1. They should have a better chance of things this weekend playing at home, but Wolves are tough opposition for anyone.
Neither side plays free-flowing football and both don’t like to give up goals. Three of the last four matches between these sides have ended in 1-1 draws. 5 out of the last 7 Forest games have had less than 2.5 goals. We’re expecting both these trends to continue. Our money is on this one being a low-scoring draw.
| Bookmaker | Tip | Odds |
| Double Chance 2 - Wolves WIN or DRAW | $1.68 |
| UNDER 2.5 Goals | $2.00 |
| Double Chance 2 - Wolves WIN or DRAW | $1.68 |
Predicted Lineups
Nottm Forest: Sels; Williams, Omobamidele, Murillo, Aina; Yates, Danilo; Elanga, Gibbs-White, Hudson-Odoi; Wood
Wolves: Sa; Bueno, Kilman, Gomes; Semedo, Lemina, Gomes, Doherty; Sarabia, Cunha, Ait-Nouri
Bournemouth vs. Manchester United
Vitality Stadium, 2:30 AM, Sunday, April 14
Bournemouth lost 2-1 to Luton Town last weekend on the road. Manchester United stood firm at home and denied their rivals Liverpool from getting three points they desperately needed to maintain their title challenge.
Man Utd lost 3-0 to Bournemouth at home the last time these two teams played. Typically, we’d say that chances of the Red Devils losing that badly to Bournemouth twice in a season were very low. With this Man Utd though, anything is possible.
Manchester United have kept a clean sheet just once in their last eight matches. They’ve given up multiple goals in five of those matches. Away from home, they are even worse. Only three teams in the league have allowed more xG against on the road.
Bournemouth are far from giants at home, but they have enough quality to cause this struggling Manchester United problems. We’re going for a draw here.
| Bookmaker | Tip | Odds |
| Draw No Bet - BOURNEMOUTH | $1.80 |
| Draw No Bet - BOURNEMOUTH | $1.80 |
| Double Chance - Bournemouth WIN or DRAW | $1.49 |
Predicted Lineups
Bournemouth: Neto; Smith, Zabarnyi, Senesi, Kelly; Cook, Christie; Scott, Kluivert, Semenyo; Solanke
Man Utd: Onana; Dalot, Varane, Maguire; Wan-Bissaka; Casemiro, Mainoo; Garnacho, Fernandes, Rashford; Hojlund
Liverpool vs. Crystal Palace
Anfield, 11:00 PM, Sunday, April 14
A 2-2 draw to Manchester United last weekend now means Liverpool’s fate is no longer in their hands. Their only chance of securing their second Premier League title of the Klopp era is if Arsenal drop points. With that being said, Liverpool still need to get points of their own. They have a good chance of doing just that this weekend.
Crystal Palace took an early lead against Man City last weekend before falling short as the match went on. The same thing happened the last time Palace played Liverpool. It’s hard to see anything but something similar happening this weekend.
Oliver Glasner has proven he knows how to coach a defensively solid side, especially against other teams around their level. Against high-quality teams though, the Eagles have repeatedly fallen short. They’ve given up three goals or more in each of their last five matches against sides in the top ten.
This should be a convincing victory for Klopp’s Liverpool.
| Bookmaker | Tip | Odds |
| Anytime Goalscorer - Salah | $1.60 |
| Both Teams To Score - YES | $1.90 |
| Liverpool -1.5 Goals | $1.60 |
Predicted Lineups
Liverpool: Kelleher; Bradley, Quansah, Van Dijk, Robertson; Szoboszlai, Endo, Mac Allister; Salah, Nunez, Diaz
Crystal Palace: Henderson; Ward, Andersen, Lerma; Munoz, Wharton, Olise, Mitchell; Ayew, Mateta, Eze
West Ham vs. Fulham
London Stadium, 11:00 PM, Sunday, April 14
Fulham looked ready to make a push for European soccer after their 3-0 win over Tottenham on March 16. The Cottagers have gotten just one point from their last three matches since then. They are maybe the most “on the beach” team in the league right now.
West Ham secured a 2-1 victory against Wolves last week, partly thanks to a crazy goal from James Ward-Prowse scored directly from a corner. The Hammers are just one point behind Man Utd in 6th, which will most likely be enough to get Europa League soccer next season.
Despite these teams’ reputations as defensive sides, they have given up a lot of goals recently. Nine out of the last ten Fulham matches have had more than 2.5 goals. West Ham have allowed their opponents to score first against them in six of their last eight.
Fulham beat West Ham 5-0 the last time these two played. The Cottagers are terrible away from home though and in poor form. We’re backing West Ham to get a 2-1 win here.
| Bookmaker | Tip | Odds |
| Draw No Bet - WEST HAM | $1.72 |
| OVER 2.5 Goals | $1.65 |
| Both Teams To Score - YES | $1.54 |
Predicted Lineups
West Ham: Fabianski; Coufal, Mavropanos, Zouma, Emerson; Alvarez, Soucek; Kudus, Ward-Prowse, Paqueta; Bowen
Fulham: Leno; Castagne, Tosin, Bassey, Robinson; Palhinha, Cairney; Iwobi, Pereira, Willian; Muniz
Arsenal vs. Aston Villa
Emirates Stadium, 1:30 AM, Monday, April 15
With all due respect to Crystal Palace and Luton Town, Aston Villa are the only team who have a chance of taking away points from one of this year’s title contenders.
The Villains started the season looking like one of the best teams in the league, but have fallen off a bit in the second half of the season. Even with that being true, Aston Villa are a tough team to beat. They beat Arsenal 1-0 at home earlier this season.
Arsenal playing at home should give them a much better chance of getting a win this time around than the last time they played Villa, but a midweek fixture against Bayern could mean they are a little fatigued. There’s also some questions about how the Gunners will cope with being top of the table.
There definitely are red flags, but Arsenal have been too good at home to bet against in this one.
| Bookmaker | Tip | Odds |
| UNDER 3.5 Goals | $1.65 |
| UNDER 3.5 Goals | $1.70 |
| Aston Villa +1.5 Goals | $2.03 |
Predicted Lineups
Arsenal: Raya; White, Saliba, Gabriel, Zinchenko; Odegaard, Partey, Rice; Saka, Nketiah, Trossard
Aston Villa: Martinez; Konsa, Carlos, Torres, Digne; Bailey, Tielemans, McGinn, Luiz, Rogers; Watkins
Chelsea vs. Everton
Stamford Bridge, 5:00 AM, Tuesday, April 16
Everton were handed an additional two-point deduction this week, following their 1-0 win over Burnley. This leaves the Toffees just two points above the relegation zone.
Chelsea, meanwhile, looked like relegation candidates last weekend in their 2-2 draw with bottom-of-the-table Sheffield United. The Blues gave up yet another late goal in that match. 27 percent of goals scored against Chelsea have come in the final 10 minutes of matches.
Simply put, Chelsea cannot see out games. This was on display against Everton earlier in the season. The Toffees scored in the 54th and 93rd minute to win the match 2-0.
Everton seem to rise to the occasion when the league goes against them. That, plus Chelsea’s recent record against supposedly poor sides, has us backing Everton here.
| Bookmaker | Tip | Odds |
| Double Chance 2 - Everton WIN or DRAW | $2.20 |
| Both Teams To Score - YES | $1.60 |
| Double Chance 2 - Everton WIN or DRAW | $2.20 |
Predicted Lineups
Chelsea: Petrovic; Gusto, Silva, Disasi, Cucurella; Caicedo, Fernandez; Palmer, Gallagher, Mudryk; Jackson
Everton: Pickford; Young, Coleman, Tarkowski, Branthwaite, Mykolenko; Garner, Doucoure, Gomes, McNeil; Calvert-Lewin
