EPL 2023/24 Matchweek 36 – Betting tips & Predictions

Noah Strang
By: Noah Strang
06/05/2024
EPL Tips, Predictions & News
EPL Matchweek 36
EPL 2023/24 Matchweek 36

Then there were two. With Liverpool dropping points for the third time in four matches, the Premier League title race is down to just Arsenal and Manchester City. At the bottom of the table, Everton and Brentford have secured their safety, while Burnley, Luton Town, and Nottingham Forest are still in the battle to avoid the drop.

Keep reading to see how we think things will go this weekend with our PL Matchweek 36 betting tips and predictions.

Matchweek 36 Fixtures

Luton Town vs. Everton

Tip

Kenilworth Road, 5:00 AM, Saturday, May 4

With 36 points, Everton are safe from relegation this season. The Toffees have won three matches on the bounce after their disastrous 6-0 defeat to Chelsea. The betting sites don’t think they can make it four. Everton are slight underdogs, according to the betting odds. We agree with those odds. 

Everton are a better team than Luton Town. The underlying metrics back this up too with them having a far better xG differential over the season. However, now that Everton are safe, we think it’s very likely they will take things easy in this match. Luton are not a side you want to take things easy against. 

It’s been a poor season for the Hatters, but they have overperformed expectations all season long, especially at home. Luton have one of the biggest points per match differences between home and away in the league. We think Kenilworth Road will make the difference on Saturday and Luton will get the win.

BookmakerTipOdds
Playup_Logo_232x80OVER 2.5 Goals$1.68
GetsetBet logoDraw No Bet - Luton$1.90
Boombet_232x80OVER 2.5 Goals$1.68

Predicted Lineups

Luton: Kaminski; Burke, Mengi, Osho; Hashioka, Lokonga, Barkley, Doughty; Clark, Morris, Chong

Everton: Pickford; Godfrey, Tarkowski, Branthwaite, Young; Harrison, Gueye, Garner, McNeil; Doucoure, Calvert-Lewin

Arsenal vs. Bournemouth


Tip

Emirates Stadium, 9:30 PM, Saturday, May 4 

Bournemouth hammered their South Coast rivals Brighton 3-0 last week. Meanwhile, Arsenal almost blew a 3-0 lead to their rivals, Tottenham, in the North London Derby before eventually coming away with a 3-2 win. The Gunners should have an easier time of things this week. 

Arsenal are on an eight-match unbeaten streak against the Cherries. They battered Bournemouth 4-0 in the reverse fixture back in September. The Cherries have grown leaps and bounds since then, but so have Arsenal. The Gunners have the best attack and defence in the league. They’ve kept a clean sheet in six of their last seven matches. Bournemouth have never kept a clean sheet against Arsenal, and haven’t really been tested recently. 

We’re expecting Arsenal to win by at least two goals here.

BookmakerTipOdds
Playup_Logo_232x80OVER 3.5 Goal$1.88
GetsetBet logoArsenal To Score OVER 2.5 Goals$1.83
Boombet_232x80Both Teams To Score - YES$1.82

Predicted Lineups

Arsenal: Raya; White, Saliba, Gabriel, Zinchenko; Odegaard, Jorginho, Rice; Saka, Havertz, Trossard 

Bournemouth: Travers; Smith, Senesi, Kelly, Ouattara; Semenyo, Christie, Cook, Kluivert; Unal, Solanke

Brentford vs. Fulham

Tip

Gtech Community Stadium, 12:00 AM, Sunday, May 5

Despite their 1-0 loss to Everton last week, Brentford secured their safety thanks to results elsewhere. Their London rivals, Fulham, have seemingly been safe for months, but are on a bit of a slide recently. The Cottagers have won just one of their last five matches, dropping points to Sheffield United and Nottingham Forest during that stretch. 

This match is set to be your typical run-of-the-mill, late-season match between two teams who are ‘on the beach’ already. Brentford will have the advantage though playing at home. Fulham have won just three away matches this season. To Brentford once this season too. The Bees won the reverse fixture 3-0 in August. 

Our pick for this one is a draw. If one team is going to win, though, it will be Brentford.

BookmakerTipOdds
Playup_Logo_232x80Both Teams To Score - YES$1.53
GetsetBet logoBoth Teams To Score - YES$1.55
Boombet_232x80Draw No Bet - Brentford$1.52

Predicted Lineups

Brentford: Flekken; Ajer, Collins, Pinnock, Reguilon; Jensen, Norgaard, Janelt; Mbeumo, Toney, Wissa

Fulham: Leno; Castagne, Diop, Bassey, Robinson; Lukic, Palhinha; De Cordova-Reid, Pereira, Iwobi; Muniz

Burnley vs. Newcastle


Tip

Turf Moor, 12:00 AM, Sunday, May 5

Burnley have quietly put together a strong run of form to end the season. The Clarets have lost just one match in their last eight and are on a three-match unbeaten streak. They have the toughest schedule of any relegation-threatened club in the league right now, starting with playing Newcastle this week. 

Eddie Howe’s men demolished Sheffield United 5-1 last weekend. They’ll be looking for something similar this week as they try to claim a Europa League spot. The Magpies beat Burnley 2-0 back in September. For our money, we think they’ll do it again on Sunday.

Burnley have gone 18 matches without keeping a clean sheet. Newcastle’s attacking core is still pretty banged up right now, but, as they showed against Sheff Utd, they are still dangerous. The only reason to doubt the Magpies is that they are playing on the road. Unfortunately for Burnley, they actually perform better away from home than at Turf Moor, so we don’t see the home-field advantage playing a role here. 

BookmakerTipOdds
Playup_Logo_232x80Newcastle To WIN$1.98
GetsetBet logoNewcastle To WIN$2.00
Boombet_232x80OVER 3.5 Goal$2.12

Predicted Lineups

Burnley: Muric; Assignon, O’Shea, Esteve, Vitinho; Odobert, Berge, Cullen, Larsen; Foster, Fofana

Newcastle: Dubravka; Livramento, Schar, Burn, Hall; Longstaff, Guimaraes, Anderson; Gordon, Isak, Barnes

Sheffield United vs. Nottingham Forest


Tip

Bramall Lane, 12:00 AM, Sunday, May 5

Sheffield United are the first team confirmed to be going down to the Championship this season. Nottingham Forest will be doing all they can to avoid joining them. 


Last week, Forest lost 2-0 to City. It was an expected result, but not one the Reds needed right now. They are in 17th place and just one point above the relegation zone. They need a win this week. Full stop. 

Forest narrowly beat the Blades last time these two played thanks to an 89th-minute winner from Chris Wood. We don’t think those kinds of heroics will be necessary this time though. 

Sheffield United has nothing to play for and have given up four goals in their last three games. If Forest don’t get a win here, maybe they deserve to go down.

BookmakerTipOdds
Playup_Logo_232x80Forest To WIN$1.60
GetsetBet logoForest To WIN$1.60
Boombet_232x80Forest To WIN$1.60

Predicted Lineups

Sheff Utd: Foderingham; Holgate, Ahmedhodzic, Trusty; Bogle, Hamer, Arblaster, Brooks, Osborn; Archer, Brereton-Diaz

Nottm Forest: Sels; Williams, Boly, Murillo, Aina; Danilo, Sangare; Elanga, Gibbs-White, Hudson-Odoi; Wood

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Manchester City vs. Wolves


Tip

Etihad Stadium, 2:30 AM, Sunday, May 5

Manchester City took care of business last week in a 2-0 victory versus Nottingham Forest. Their destiny as Premier League champions remains completely up to them. If they keep winning, it won’t matter what Arsenal do. So, will the Cityzens drop points this week? As boring as it is to say, no, we don’t think they will. 

Gary O’Neil, who will be suspended for this match after having a go at the referees a few weeks ago, deserves a lot of credit for what he’s done with Wolves. However, playing Man City on the road is a tough task for anyone, especially since City are fully rested, healthy, and have everything to play for. 

This should be a simple 2-0 or 3-0 victory for Pep Guardiola and Man City

BookmakerTipOdds
Playup_Logo_232x80OVER 3.5 Cards$1.63
GetsetBet logoBoth Teams To Score - NO$1.60
Boombet_232x80BTTS - NO and OVER 2.5 Goals$2.50

Predicted Lineups

Man City: Ortega; Walker, Stones, Dias, Gvardiol; Rodri; Foden, De Bruyne, Silva, Grealish; Haaland

Wolves: Sa; Semedo, Kilman, Toti; Doherty, Gomes, Lemina, Ait-Nouri; Sarabia, Cunha, Hwang

Brighton vs. Aston Villa


Tip

American Express Stadium, 11:00 PM, Sunday, May 5

Brighton’s slide down the table continued last week with an embarrassing 3-0 loss to their South Coast rivals Bournemouth. The Seagulls have won just six of their last 28 matches and are racking up injuries by the day. 

Aston Villa, meanwhile, threw away three points last week in a 2-2 draw with Chelsea at home. The Villains are still in fourth place and the bookies’ favourites to qualify for the Champions League this season. Surprisingly though, Aston Villa are not big favourites over Brighton.

Most sites have the Villains as just slight favourites here. We think this is a huge mistake. Aston Villa destroyed Brighton 6-1 earlier in the season and there isn’t a less in-form team in the league than the Seagulls right now. 

Yes, Villa will be without Emiliano Martinez and Youri Tielemans, but this is a match they should be winning. Villa to win or a Draw No Bet wager are your best bets in this one. 

BookmakerTipOdds
Playup_Logo_232x80Villa To WIN$2.28
GetsetBet logoVilla To WIN$2.30
Boombet_232x80Villa To WIN$2.28

Predicted Lineups

Brighton: Verbruggen; Veltman, Dunk, Webster, Barco; Gross, Baleba, Buonanotte, Lallana, Adingra, Pedro

Aston Villa: Olsen; Cash, Konsa, Torres, Digne; Bailey, Luiz, Rogers, McGinn; Diaby, Watkins

Chelsea vs. West Ham


Tip

Stamford Bridge, 11:00 PM, Sunday, May 5

Chelsea’s chances of finishing in the top half are still alive after their 2-2 draw with Aston Villa last week. West Ham are still chasing a Europa League spot. Their draw with Liverpool last week will help things, but it might be too late for the Hammers. 

When these two last faced off, West ham outclassed Chelsea. The same could happen this week, or not. In truth, the Blues are completely unpredictable. The Hammers have been too recently. Moyes’ side have lost two of their last three to worse sides, but somehow drew with Liverpool. 

With all that being said, a draw is our pick for this one. We also expect both to score and for Chelsea to score first. 

BookmakerTipOdds
Playup_Logo_232x80Draw No Bet - West Ham$3.60
GetsetBet logoBoth Teams To Score - YES$1.45
Boombet_232x80UNDER 3.5 Goals$1.78

Predicted Lineups

Chelsea: Petrovic; Chalobah, Silva, Badiashile, Cucurella; Caicedo, Gallagher, Madueke, Palmer, Mudryk; Jackson

West Ham: Areola; Coufal, Zouma, Ogbonna, Emerson; Soucek, Alvarez; Kudus, Ward-Prowse, Paqueta; Bowen

Liverpool vs. Tottenham

Tip

Anfield, 1:30 AM, Monday, May 6

Tottenham fell 3-2 to their North London rivals Arsenal last week in a hotly-contested match that the Lilywhites probably think they should have won. It was Spurs’ second loss on the bounce. Another loss would almost guarantee that they miss out on the Champions League next season.  

Liverpool’s title hopes came crashing down to Earth last week after their 2-2 draw to West Ham. Once favourites, the Reds are now set on to finish third behind Man City and Arsenal. Drama between Jurgen Klopp and Mo Salah also aren’t helping things. With all this going on, Liverpool are vulnerable. Ange Postecogolu’s Spurs should like their chances here.

Spurs won the first fixture between these two this season. Liverpool went down to nine men in that match. Even if Liverpool keep all 11 this time, we think they might not be in for the fight. We’re backing Spurs to get at least a draw here.

BookmakerTipOdds
Playup_Logo_232x80Double Chance 2 - Spurs WIN Or DRAW$2.70
GetsetBet logoOVER 3.5 Goals$1.65
Boombet_232x80Double Chance 2 - Spurs WIN Or DRAW$2.72

Predicted Lineups

Liverpool: Alisson; Alexander-Arnold, Quansah, Van Dijk, Robertson; Mac Allister, Endo, Gravenberch; Salah, Nunez, Diaz

Tottenham: Vicario; Porro, Romero, Van de Ven, Davies; Sarr, Bissouma; Kulusevski, Maddison, Werner; Son

Crystal Palace vs. Manchester United

Tip

Selhurst Park, 5:00 AM, Tuesday, May 7

Crystal Palace are flying under new manager Oliver Glasner to close out the season. The Eagles have just one loss in their last five, a 4-2 defeat to Man City. They have beaten the likes of West Ham, Newcastle, and Liverpool during that stretch. 

Manchester United, meanwhile, look ready for the 2024/25 season. The Red Devils limped into the FA Cup final against Coventry City two weeks ago. They went down 2-0 to Sheffield United in the match after that before eventually coming away with a win. They followed all that up with a disappointing 1-1 draw against Burnley at Old Trafford. 

To put it lightly, Manchester United are not good right now. A team like Palace in the form they are now playing at home should be able to beat this Red Devils side.

BookmakerTipOdds
Playup_Logo_232x80Draw No Bet - Palace$1.80
GetsetBet logoDraw No Bet - Palace$1.80
Boombet_232x80OVER 2.5 Goals$1.51

Predicted Lineups

Crystal Palace: Henderson; Clyne, Andersen, Richards; Munoz, Wharton, Hughes, Mitchell; Olise, Mateta, Eze

Man Utd: Onana; Wan-Bissaka, Casemiro, Maguire, Dalot; Mainoo, Mount; Garnacho, Fernandes, Diallo; Hojlund

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