Saturday Racing Tips - The Valley 12/08/23

Horse racing tips come from The Valley on Saturday, where a February Group 3 winner returns to the track.

The Valley hosts an exciting card on Saturday with plenty of betting options for those looking to get involved. They have ten races on the card, stretching from 1000m up to 2500m, with a pair of Benchmark 100 handicaps worth $82,500 to the winner. We have online betting tips for The Valley races below. These include a huge win treble multi bet that we hope will have the horse racing bookmakers ducking for cover.

(Note: Odds provided by Bet365)

Selections:
#2 - Chandon Burj - $4.40
#9 - Lady Court  - $3.80
#7 - Lievore - $5.50
#3 - Christmas Diamond (ROUGHIE OF THE DAY) - $29.00

BEST BET - #2 Chandon Burj 
She had been set challenging tasks before returning to Bm78 level last time. Things went against her that day - held up close to the back early and challenging wide were not the places to be at the meeting. She had won her only other run at this track and distance before the bias against her last time out, so is worth giving another chance, especially as this race should be set up much more to her liking. 

THE DANGER - #9 Lady Court
On her latest start, she finished in front of Chandon Burj over this track and distance. She has an excellent attitude to her job, also filling the second spot on her only previous visit to The Valley. Things went more her way than Chandon Burj in that recent contest, so she might find it a challenge to confirm those places. Despite that, she should still be right there at the finish and deserves to be given plenty of respect. 

VALUE BET  - #3 Christmas Diamond
She has been multiple times a winner when trained in the USA, her best turf run coming on a quick surface, so she will enjoy the forecast Good 3 track at The Valley. Her first run here saw her slow away from the widest barrier, dropping in last on the rail. She had to wait for a gap to open up in the last 250m, not hard-ridden to pick a couple of rivals off. The extra distance will help with wins over 1673m and 1710m in the USA - If she can rediscover that level of them, she looks overpriced. 

Selections:
#1 - Recommendation (BEST BET) - $2.50
#4 - Belle Et Riche - $6.50
#6 - Maximillius - $5.50
#2 - Metro Legend - $15.00

BEST BET - #1 Recommendation (BEST BET)
The winner of four of his six career starts for the Ciaron Maher and David Eustace team, Recommendation was last in action in February when taking out the Group 3 Zeditave. Barrier 10 on the wide outside is not ideal for his return, but he is a horse who likes to go forward, which suggests that The Valley is a track that will suit him. He returns to action in a Bm84, and as the class angle in the race, he should be too good for them. 

THE DANGER - #4 Belle Et Riche
Another who brings Group 3 form to the table, runner-up in the Bellmaine in February on her latest start. She has a solid record fresh, so that absence is no issue, given a jump out earlier this month which should have put her spot on. The very best of her form is over an extra 100m or 200m, which is a slight concern if she is to return with a winning effort. That said, she has never finished outside the first three in 10 career starts which is an impressive record that she will likely keep intact here.

VALUE BET  - #2 Metro Legend
He has a few more runs to his credit than the other pair discussed above, but he has a fitness edge. He likes to roll along on the lead, which is an excellent place to be at this track, and while the very best of his form has come on softer conditions, he is dangerous to dismiss given that he is rock-hard fit at present. The field would be unwise to allow him to dictate soft fractions on the front. 

Selections:
#10 - HELIX (NEXT BEST) - $3.60
#11 - Pereille - $3.60
#9 - Cute As- $7.00
#6 - Lord Domino - $21.00

BEST BET - #10 Helix (NEXT BEST)
His last two races came back in March over 1400m. Up with the pace in both of those, he could not fight off stronger rivals in the last 100m. He drops back to 1200m on his return which should suit given his run style. His on-the-pace racing style would suggest that The Valley will be to his liking. He has only had three starts, and his win on debut came over this same 1200m trip at Pakenham. Should have better to come in the spring, and looks like the one to beat here.

THE DANGER - #11 Pereille
The winner of just one of his nine career starts, he has filled the second spot in five others. The Godolphin operation continues with him, which suggests that they feel that he can step up on the form he has shown so far. Second over this track and distance last time out, running on strongly down the middle of the track on a day when early pace on the rail was the bias. A repeat of that would give him a winning chance here - it is just the overall record that sounds a note of concern that second might be his position again.  

VALUE BET  - #9 Cute As
She has made a tidy start to her racing career with two wins from two starts. This will be a bigger ask of her, taking on a couple of smart boys, but there has been plenty to like in those wins that suggest she will be up to the task. She has done her racing close to the pace which will suit her at The Valley. The wins came over 1000m and 1100m, up in trip just slightly to 1200m, but she has hit the line strongly enough in each of her wins to think that the new distance will be a positive for her chance, if anything. 

Are you looking to place a bet this Saturday? Check out our best betting sites in Australia to discover the best bookmakers to enjoy a bet with our expert tips, with simple sign-ups for each site on offer.

Bet365 is our top bookmaker for our horse racing tips this week. They are one of the biggest bookmakers in the world and have an assortment of markets that most bookmakers could only dream about. One of the most significant advantages of betting with bet365 is watching a live stream of all the action. It is hard to compete with their level of sport shown live. As a company born in the UK, it is no surprise that you can bet on all of the horse racing across Europe and America and all of the Australian action. There are always boosts and special offers to take advantage of, as well as offering prices that match up well with their competitors. 

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The talented apprentice recently rode her 200th winner and looks set for a decent day at The Valley. She was a latecomer to being a jockey but has quickly made up for lost time. Hefel has the leg up on our best bet on the card and several others who should be in with a shout across nine mounts on the day, so it would be no surprise to see her land a number in the frame.

R2 - #11 - Little Miss Grace - $51.00
R3 - #9 - Lady Court - $3.80
R4 - #13 - Oceana Blue - $8.50
R5 - #1 - Recommendation - $2.50
R6 - #13 - La Spezia - $10.00
R7 - #5 - Flash Flood - $4.60
R8 - #11 - Botany - $6.50
R9 - #7 - Rebel Factor - $17.00
R10 - #2 - Hello Broadcast - $34.00

The Valley card on Saturday looks fascinating, with a string of decent-looking handicaps. Those on the pace are often the way to go here, so we hope these three below are all ridden on the speed to be seen to best effect. 

R3 - #2 - Chandon Burj - WIN $4.40
R5 - #1 - Recommendation - WIN $2.50
R10 - #10 - Helix - WIN $3.60

Total Odds = $39.60
$50 Stake = $1,980 Return!

Odds are provided by Bet365, sign up for a new account here to get started.

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The Valley Racecourse Trifecta Tip (R5)

1st: 1, 2, 4, 6
2nd: 1, 2, 4, 6
3rd: 1, 2, 4, 6
$50 stake = 208% Flexi