AFLW 2024 Grand Final

The AFLW Grand Final is set, and for the second time in as many years it will be the Kangaroos taking on the Lions on the biggest day of the year. Both of them won their way through to the big dance with impressive performances, particularly the Kangaroos, who will be attempting to exact revenge on the team that spoiled their plans on this day last year. They will deservedly enter the game as favourites after being easily the best team in the league all season, but the Lions are an excellent team and will not go down without a fight. It all kicks off at 7.45pm this Saturday night, underneath the bright lights of the home of the AFLW, Ikon Park.

North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Brisbane Lions

Last season, the Kangaroos and the Lions both won their way through to the Grand Final in thrilling prelims. The Lions knocked off the Cats by four points in a game with six lead changes, including two in the final term, before the Roos cut things even finer with a one-point defeat of the Crows. In 2024, the end result is the same, but they both did things a little more easily.

The Kangaroos were particularly dominant. They were to an extent advantaged by a matchup with the Power, who finished down in 6th and never looked likely to be able to match it with the best team in the league. But Port entered the game in some red-hot form and had knocked off the Hawks just a week prior, so the fact that North Melbourne was able to dispose of them by 57 point without breaking a sweat was nonetheless impressive. From the outset the difference in ability of the two sides was clear, the Kangaroos booting four goals to none in the first quarter, four goals to none in the second and three goals to none in the third before Port finally hit the scoreboard in a meaningful way in the last.

The Lions were not as dominant, but they did not have it quite so easy up against a very good Crows team and were still impressive in their three-goal win. It took a while for them to break the shackles, and at half-time they actually looked up against it down by seven points. But they worked their way back into it in a tense first ten minutes of the second half, before accelerating away with three quick goals to end the term 16 points ahead. In the final term, they were as professional as can be, conceding just one goal and ultimately running out 18-point winners.

It's hard to argue that we have the best two teams in the league in the Grand Final. Certainly the Kangaroos are in that category. They have been clearly the best in the business all season long, something to which a percentage of 315.4% points. The Lions might have finished back in third, but they have beaten the other two members of the top four over the past three weeks and looked very, very good against the Crows in the second half of their Preliminary Final.

But unlike last year, they will enter this game as the underdog, though not because of any doing of their own. They are every bit as good as they were when they won the Grand Final last season, but the Kangaroos have taken a huge step forward to go from a very good team to a great one, and a Premiership would be just reward for what has been a brilliant season.

These teams have met once in 2024, and it was way back in Round 1 when they started off the season with a Grand Final rematch. And just months after the Lions won the flag with a 17-point win, the Kangaroos tore them to pieces, winning that game by 44 points. As it turned out, that would be the first of just two losses this season to date for the Lions, and for the Roos, it kicked off what has thus far been an undefeated year in the most emphatic fashion possible.

Interestingly, the Lions probably have reason to think that they could have been closer than what they were in that game. On the scoreboard they were comprehensively beaten, but they actually tied the Kangaroos for inside 50s in that game. The opportunities were there; they were simply completely outclassed by the Roos going forward with any sort of efficiency.

But nonetheless, it was a comprehensive victory for the Kangaroos, and they have done nothing but grow as the season has worn on. For a long, long time they have been the comfortable Premiership favourites, and they have continued to justify those short odds week after week. The Lions are a really good team and it’s hard to see them getting blown out in this game. But on the flip side of the coin, the Kangaroos are undefeated this season for a reason. As was the case when they played in Round 1, expect the Lions to make this a contest for at least a couple of quarters, and it’s hard to see them ending up losing by the kind of margin they did earlier in the year. The Kangaroos, however, are simply ineffable. After the heartbreak of last year, the stage is set for them to exact revenge in the best way possible, and they can do exactly that with their first ever AFLW Premiership.

Bookmaker	James’ Tip	Odds
	Kangaroos to win	$1.25
	Taylor Smith to score 2+ goals	$4.50
	Kangaroos 1-39	$1.60

Predicted Squads

North Melbourne Kangaroos: FB: L. Birch, J. Ferguson HB: S. Wright, E. Kearney, N. Brsnehan C: T. Gatt, J. Garner, T. Craven HF: V. Wall, B. Eddey, J. Bruton FF: T. Randall, K. Shierlaw Fol: E. King, M. King, A. Riddell IC: E. O’Shea, R. Tripodi, A. Smith, K. Rennie, A. O’Loughlin

Brisbane Lions: FB: J. Dunne, P. Boltz HB: N. Grider, B. Koenen, J. Ellenger C: O. O’Dwyer, A. Anderson, C. Mullins HF: S. Conway, C. Hodder, L. Postlethwaite FF: T. Smith, D. Davidson Fol: T. Hickie, I. Dawes, C. Svarc IC: E. Hartill, S. Campbell, R. Svarc, E. Long, E. Hampson

The Kangaroos have not lost a single game all season long
Jade Ellenger is a remarkably consistent winner of the football; she failed to get 15 touches in Round One, but since then has hit the number in all but two games
Taylor Smith was held scoreless last week, but that has not happened often this season. In fact, in just two games has she failed to kick a goal, while in more than half of them she has booted multiple goals, so her odds to do that this time around look very juicy to boost our multi value

Multi of the Week

Legs	Odds
Kangaroos 1-39	$1.63
Jade Ellenger to have 15+ disposals	$1.40
Taylor Smith to kick 2+ goals	$4.20
Bet $10 for $95.84 with PlayUp

Your Full Sports Betting Experience at BettingTop10

AFLW tips and predictions like the above come out each and every week during the season at BettingTop10, but they are far from all that we have to offer. We also dish out similar pieces about both the AFL and the NRL throughout the entirety of both of those seasons, while when the NBA season rolls around we provide helpful betting tips throughout that season too, consisting of two pieces during the week and one for each weekend. What’s more, if you’re after season long tips, check out our futures pages, which we update regularly for each of the AFL, NRL and AFLW.

And if you are lost among the seemingly endless list of options that you have when it comes to different betting sites, then we can help you out there, too. We have a whole bunch of super in-depth bookmaker reviews which dive into everything from which betting sites have the best odds, the widest range of markets, the best betting apps.

So whatever it is that you need, if it’s related to sports betting in any way shape or form, then we have got you covered.