AFL 2023 Round 10 – Betting Tips, Odds & Predictions

James Salmon
AFL Betting Tips
AFL 2023 Round 10
AFL 2023 Round 10

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Round 10 of the 2023 AFL season is Indigenous round, which will see a celebration of First Nations culture and celebrate their contributions to the game. With each team wearing their eye-catching Indigenous jerseys, the round will kick off with a huge clash between a Power side trying to enter the Premiership conversation, and one of the flag favourites in the Demons. Saturday’s action will be headlined by Dreamtime at the ‘G in the evening, while the round will wrap up with a massive game between the Blues and the Magpies on Sunday. Take a look at our previews for each and every game below. 

Round 10 Fixtures

FixturesInfo (AEST)Home OddsAway Odds
Power vs DemonsFriday May 19 at 7.50pm$2.20$1.67
Kangaroos vs SwansSaturday May 20 at 1.45pm$5.80$1.14
Bulldogs vs CrowsSaturday May 20 at 2.20pm$1.62$2.30
Dockers vs CatsSaturday May 20 at 4.35pm$2.35$1.60
Lions vs SunsSaturday May 20 at 7.30pm$1.25$4.00
Bombers vs TigersSaturday May 20 at 7.40pm$2.25$1.65
Hawks vs EaglesSunday May 21 at 1.10pm$1.30$3.50
Blues vs MagpiesSunday May 20 at 3.20pm$2.90$1.41
Giants vs SaintsSunday May 20 at 4.40pm$2.15$1.70

Port Adelaide Power vs Melbourne Demons

Indigenous Round kicks off with a big Friday night game between a team trying to work themselves into the Premiership conversation, and one sitting comfortably in it. The Power are adding to their Premiership credentials by the week, having taken their record to 7-2 on the back of their 70-point win over the Kangaroos last weekend. After destroying perhaps the worst team in the league, however, they’ll have to take things up a gear when they welcome perhaps the best to their home stadium. The Demons also had an easy kill last week against the Hawks, knocking them off by 54 points to take their own win/loss record to 7-2. Their percentage of 143.6% is pretty comfortably the best in the league, and is indicative of how good they’ve been at times this year. They haven’t been able to bring that every single week, but when they’re on they’re a better team than Port, and under Friday night lights they can get the job done this weekend.

BookmakerJames’ TipOdds
Demons to win$1.67
Under 169.5 total points$1.89
Demons -6.5$1.87

Predicted Squads

Port Adelaide PowerPort Adelaide Power: B: A.Aliir, T.McKenzie, T.Jonas HB: M.Bergman, R.Burton, R.Bonner C: D.Houston, J.Horne-Francis, T.Boak HF: J.McEntee, D.Byrne-Jones, C.Rozee F: F.Evans, O. Lord, C.Dixon FOLL: B.Teakle, S.Powell-Pepper, W.Drew I/C: D.Williams, O.Wines, Z.Butters, J.Finlayson

Melbourne DemonsMelbourne Demons: B: A.Brayshaw, S.May, M.Hibberd HB: J.McVee, J.Lever, J.Bowey C: E.Langdon, C.Oliver, A.Neal-Bullen HF: B.Fritsch, B.Grundy, L.Hunter F: K.Chandler, J.van Rooyen, K.Pickett FOLL: M.Gawn, C.Petracca, J.Viney I/C: C.Spargo, T.Rivers, T.Sparrow, T. McDonald

North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Sydney Swans

The Swans badly need a win, so a matchup against the Kangaroos couldn’t come at a better time for them. The Roos, after their exciting back-to-back wins to enter life under Alastair Clarkson, have regressed to the largely uncompetitive form they displayed throughout last season, and have now dropped seven in a row to drop into the bottom three alongside the Eagles and the Hawks, with whom they’ll likely remain for the rest of the season. The Swans, meanwhile, have lost four in a row themselves, putting in jeopardy their finals hopes the year after they made it to the Grand Final. This is still a really talented young team, but they have hit a flat spot and need to find their way out of it sooner rather than later. Last week’s loss to the Dockers in Sydney was super disappointing given how Fremantle have played for most of this year, and would have set the alarm bells ringing for the Swans. A win over North Melbourne certainly won’t alleviate those concerns, but it will at least get them back on the winners’ list. 

BookmakerJames’ TipOdds
Swans to win$1.14
Swans 60+$3.50
Swans -38.5$1.87

Predicted Squads

North MelbourneNorth Melbourne Kangaroos: B: G.Logue, B.McKay, J. Ziebell HB: M.Bergman, L.McDonald, A. Hall C: B.Scott, C.Taylor, H.Sheezel HF: L.Shiels, J.Stephenson, B.Drury F: P.Curtis, N.Larkey, C. Coleman-Jones FOLL: T.Goldstein, B. Cunnington, J.Simpkin I/C: G. Wardlaw, C. Lazzaro, H.Greenwood, W. Phillips

Sydney SwansSydney Swans: B: N.Blakey, A.Francis, R.Fox HB: O.Florent, J.Lloyd, B.Campbell C: J.McInerney, L.Parker , E.Gulden HF: H.Cunningham, P. Ladhams, W.Hayward F: T.Papley, L.Franklin, I.Heeney FOLL: T.Hickey, Ch. Warner, J.Rowbottom I/C: W.Gould, A. Sheldrick, R.Clarke, H.McLean

Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide Crows

Speaking of teams trying to get themselves into Premiership contention, both the Bulldogs and the Crows are starting to make some noise in that regard. They’re each sitting just inside the eight and certainly still have plenty of work to do to truly establish themselves in that conversation, but they’ve both been really impressive at times this year and are each coming off good wins. The Bulldogs staved off the Blues to win their fourth game in succession last week and take their record to 6-3, while over in Adelaide the Crows dominated the vastly improved Saints, beating them by 52 points and cutting through their resolute defence like no other team has managed this season. This looms as a really intriguing game between two legitimately good sides. On what is likely to be a cold and windy Mars Stadium, the Crows can come away from Ballarat with an upset win.

BookmakerJames’ TipOdds
Crows to win$2.30
Crows 1-39$2.60
Crows +8.5$1.80

Predicted Squads

Western BulldogsWestern Bulldogs: B: T.Duryea, L.Jones, E.Richards HB: B.Dale, A.Keath, J.Johannisen C: O.Baker, M.Bontempelli - C, B.Williams HF: J.Macrae, J.Ugle-Hagan, C.Weightman F: A.Jones, A.Naughton, R.Lobb FOLL: T.English, B.Smith, T.Liberatore I/C: R.Gardner, C.Daniel, A.Scott, J.O’Donnell

Adelaide CrowsAdelaide Crows: B: P.Parnell, N. Murray, M.Hinge HB: B.Smith, J.Butts, W.Milera C: J.Soligo, J.Dawson - C, L.Sholl HF: I.Rankine, C.Jones, L.Pedlar F: T.Walker, D.Fogarty, L.Murphy FOLL: R.O’Brien, R.Laird, B.Keays I/C: R.Thilthorpe, J.Rachele, R.Sloane, M.Michalanney

  • The Tigers have won the last eight incarnations of Dreamtime at the G, most of them comfortably.
  • The Saints’ last game was high scoring, but prior to that their past four games were under the total match points over/under for their game this weekend. 
  • The Hawks average just 60 points per game this year, while the Eagles aren’t much better at a little under 69.

Multi of the Week

Tigers 25+$2.75
Saints/Giants under 165.5 total match points$1.90
Hawks/Eagles under 170.5 total match points$1.90
Bet $10 for $99.28 with PlayUp

Fremantle Dockers vs Geelong Cats

Last year, this would have been a top of the table clash between two of the best teams in the league, but while the Cats have well and truly maintained that rage, the Dockers have fallen off a cliff. At least, they had. Two weeks ago, they won just their third game of the season with an easy kill against the Hawks in Perth, but that appeared to finally give them the confidence for which they’ve been so desperately searching in the early stages of the year. They backed that up with their best game of the season against the Swans last week, coming away from Sydney with a 17-point win, and suddenly they are right back in the finals picture. If they can beat the Cats this week, the optimism surrounding their ability to get back close to where they were last year will only grow, but they’ll have a tough time doing that. After losing their first three games of the season the Cats have been brilliant, though last week they lost their first game in six weeks against the Tigers. They’ll be keen to bounce back from that loss, and though they’ll have a tougher time against this improving Freo team than they might have a few weeks ago, they can still get the job done.

BookmakerJames’ TipOdds
Cats to win$1.60
Cats 1-39$2.10
Cats -9.5$1.87

Predicted Squads

Fremantle DockersFremantle Dockers: B: B.Cox, A.Pearce , H.Young HB: B.Walker, L.Ryan, J.Clark C: J.Aish, C.Serong, N.O’Driscoll HF: M.Walters, L.Jackson, J.Treacy F: S.Switkowski, J.Amiss, L.Schultz FOLL: S.Darcy, A.Brayshaw, J.O’Meara I/C: B.Banfield, M.Frederick, N.Erasmus, E.Hughes

Geelong CatsGeelong Cats: B: M.O’Connor, E.Ratugolea, Z.Guthrie HB: J.Kolodjashnij, T.Stewart, Z.Tuohy C: M.Knevitt, T.Atkins, M.Duncan HF: O.Henry, O.Dempsey, T.Bruhn F: G.Miers, T.Hawkins, J.Cameron FOLL: J.Ceglar, M.Holmes, M.Blicavs I/C: J.Bews, J. Henry, B. Close, I.Smith

Brisbane Lions vs Gold Coast Suns

The Lions just keep getting it done. They won their fifth game in a row last weekend, and though it was a game they were expected to win, they did it with consummate ease against the Bombers. It certainly wasn’t the type of Lions game we’ve come to expect, and the free-flowing, easy-scoring nature for which they are renowned was notably absent, but they conceded just six goals and came away with a comfortable 42-point win. This week, they get a brilliant chance to make it six wins in a row and take their record to 8-2. The Suns have certainly managed to alleviate the pressure which was so firmly on their proverbial shoulders early in the season, and have now won three games in a row after beating up the hapless Eagles last week. They’re an outside finals contender for sure, but that’s about it. Against the might of the Lions at the Gabba, it’s hard to see the Suns earning their fifth game of the year.

BookmakerJames’ TipOdds
Lions to win$1.25
Lions 21+$1.67
Lions -25.5$1.87

Predicted Squads

Brisbane LionsBrisbane Lions: B: B.Starcevich, J.Payne, K.Coleman HB: C.McKenna, H.Andrews, D.Zorko C: J.Berry, Z.Bailey, H.McCluggage HF: C.Cameron, J.Gunston, W.Ashcroft F: L.McCarthy, J.Daniher, E.Hipwood FOLL: O.McInerney, J.Dunkley, L.Neale I/C: C.Rayner, H.Sharp, R.Lester, D.Wilmot

Gold Coast SunsGold Coast Suns: B: L. Weller, S.Collins, M.Andrew HB: D.Macpherson, C.Ballard, W.Powell C: B.Fiorini, D.Swallow, B.Ellis HF: B. Ainsworth, J.Lukosius, M.Rosas F: S.Day, B.King, M.Chol FOLL: J.Witts, M.Rowell, N.Anderson I/C: R.Atkins, A.Davies, B.Humphrey, L. Casboult

Essendon Bombers vs Richmond Tigers

Dreamtime at the G is every year one of the most anticipated home and away games of the year, and this one is set to be no different, with both these teams finding themselves in intriguing positions as we near the halfway point of the season. The Bombers have been much improved under new coach Brad Scott, but an incredibly difficult month has seen them lose four games in succession. Against the Magpies, to a lesser extent the Cats, and then the Power, they were very competitive, but losing so consistently invariably dents confidence and that showed in a disappointing effort against the Lions last weekend. The Tigers over the past fortnight have been a great example of the opposite effect. They looked completely devoid of confidence over the first couple of months of the year, losing five games in a row after their first two games, but they got back on the winners’ list with an easy win against the Eagles. With a win finally behind them, they put in their best game of the season by a long way against the Cats last night, looking far more like the Richmond which has won three flags since 2017. Their chaotic ball movement was back, Dustin Martin and Shai Bolton are simultaneously playing great footy for one of the first times in their careers, and the Tigers look right back in the conversation for, at the very least, the finals. They can notch up another win against the Bombers this weekend.

BookmakerJames’ TipOdds
Tigers to win$1.65
Tigers 25+$2.90
Tigers -7.5$1.87

Predicted Squads

Essendon Essendon Bombers: B: N.Hind, B.Zerk-Thatcher, M.Redman HB: A.McGrath, J. Ridley, K.Langford C: S.Durham, D.Shiel, N.Martin HF: B.Hobbs, S.Weideman, J.Caldwell F: J.Menzie, J.Stringer, A.McDonald-Tipungwuti FOLL: S.Draper, Z.Merrett, W.Setterfield I/C: A.Perkins, D.Heppell, J. Kelly, A.Phillips

Richmond TigersRichmond Tigers: B: N.Broad, D.Grimes, N.Balta HB: D.Rioli, N.Vlastuin, L.Baker C: K.McIntosh, T.Taranto, J.Ross HF: R.Mansell, D.Prestia, J.Graham F: M.Pickett, D.Martin, J.Riewoldt FOLL: S.Ryan, J.Short, S. Bolton I/C: H.Ralphsmith, T. Sonsie, N. Cumberland, T.Cotchin

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Hawthorn Hawks vs West Coast Eagles

Most weeks, the Hawks, Eagles and Roos provide easy wins to three lucky teams, but that won’t be the case this weekend with the Hawks and the Eagles set to face off in a game that won’t inspire a great deal of excitement in neutral supporters. These two teams have won just a solitary game each and find themselves sitting in the bottom two spots on the AFL ladder, with the Eagles’ percentage sitting at 60.5% and the Hawks’ at 60%. There’s no sugar-coating the fact that these are two very poor teams who won’t be winning very many games this year, so this will provide a very rare opportunity for one of them to get four points on the board. Don’t expect a particularly high quality game, but in a scrappy affair the Hawks can get the chocolates down in Tasmania. 

BookmakerJames’ TipOdds
Hawks to win$1.30
Under 170.5 total points$1.89
Eagles +21.5$1.87

Predicted Squads

Hawthorn Hawthorn Hawks: B: J.Sicily, S.Frost, J.Weddle HB: S.Mitchell, D. Grainger-Barass, J.Impey C: C.Nash, J.Newcombe, K.Amon HF: J.Worpel, L.Meek, T. Brockman F: D.Moore, M.Lewis, L.Breust FOLL: N.Reeves, W.Day, C.Mackenzie I/C: C.Jiath, S.Butler, B.Hardwick, H.Morrison

West Coast EaglesWest Coast Eagles: B: A.Witherden, T.Barrass, L.Duggan HB: J.Jones, J.Rotham, J.Hunt C: L.Foley, T.Kelly, A.Gaff HF: J.Waterman, R. Bazzo, C.West F: C.Jamieson, O.Allen, J.Petruccelle FOLL: B.Williams, D.Sheed, R.Ginbey I/C: B.Hough, X.O’Neill, G.Clark, H.Edwards

Carlton Blues vs Collingwood Magpies

Sunday’s action is headlined by perhaps the biggest rivalry in the league, with the Blues and the Magpies set to square off at the MCG in front of what will no doubt be a massive crowd. The fortunes of this two historic clubs, however, are trending in completely opposite directions. The Blues are copping all sorts of heat after losing a fourth game in five weeks last weekend, their only win in that stretch coming against the Eagles. There’s no doubting the stars they’re able to get on the floor, but even with the likes of Charlie Curnow, Harry McKay, Patrick Cripps, Sam Walsh and Jacob Weitering out there, they’re consistently unable to play at a particularly high level. Contrast that with the Magpies. They’ve got a good team, but under Craig McRae they are maximising that talent like no one else in the AFL. A dominant 120-55 win over the Giants last week took them to 8-1, and they’ve separated themselves as the Premiership favourite – albeit only slightly – as a result. Hopefully, the Blues can finally get the best out of themselves on this huge stage and create a good game, but even if they do it’s hard to see the Magpies losing.

BookmakerJames’ TipOdds
Magpies to win$1.41
Magpies 25+$2.35
Magpies -16.5$1.87

Predicted Squads

Carlton BluesCarlton Blues: B: Le.Young, J.Weitering, N.Newman HB: M.Kennedy, M.McGovern, A.Saad C: B.Acres, P.Cripps, O.Hollands HF: S.Walsh, H.McKay, J.Silvagni F: C.Durdin, C.Curnow, J.Motlop FOLL: M.Pittonet, G.Hewett, S.Docherty I/C: E. Curnow, A.Cerra, M.Cottrell, M.Owies

Collingwood MagpiesCollingwood Magpies: B: I.Quaynor, D.Moore, B.Maynard HB: W.Hoskin-Elliott, N.Murphy, J.Crisp C: S.Sidebottom, J.DeGoey, N.Daicos HF: B.Hill, B.Mihocek, J.Daicos F: J.Ginnivan, M.Cox, J.Elliott FOLL: A.Johnson, S.Pendlebury, T.Mitchell I/C: J.Noble, T.Adams, B.McCreery, O.Markov

GWS Giants vs St. Kilda Saints

Round 10 concludes with an intriguing clash between the Giants and the Saints, both of whom will be pretty keen to get back on the winners’ list. The Giants were no match for the Magpies last week, who handed them their third loss in four weeks, but they’ve shown some good signs at times, most notably in their solitary win in that month period in which they beat the Swans by a point. The Saints, meanwhile, have looked like the most improved side in the competition under coach Ross Lyon for the first couple of months of this season, but with two disappointing losses in the last three weeks they’re beginning to come back to the pack. The latest of those was a shellacking at the hands of the Crows, who were able to boot 19 goals on a team which has proved more difficult than virtually any other to score against so far this season. Ross the Boss will be imploring them to recapture that defensive identity this week after losing it last week, and they can eke out a hard-fought win on the road on Sunday afternoon.

BookmakerJames’ TipOdds
Saints to win$1.70
Under 165.5 total match points$1.89
Saints -6.5$1.87

Predicted Squads

GWS GiantsGWS Giants: B: C.Fleeton, C.Idun, N.Haynes HB: L.Whitfield, J.Buckley, L.Ash C: F.Callaghan, J.Kelly, R.Angwin HF: B.Daniels, H.Himmelberg, J.Peatling F: X.O’Halloran, J.Hogan, T. Greene FOLL: M.Flynn, T.Green, S.Coniglio I/C: H.Perryman, A.Cadman, T. Bedford, D.Lloyd

St. Kilda St. Kilda Saints: B: J.Battle, D.Howard, C.Wilkie HB: L.Stocker, J.Sinclair, N.Wanganeen-Milera C: M.Wood, S.Ross, R.Byrnes HF: M.Owens, B.Hill, M.Phillipou F: A.Caminiti, M. King, J.Higgins FOLL: R.Marshall, B.Crouch, J.Steele I/C: H.Clark, D.Butler, B.Paton, M. Windhager

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