NRL 2024 Round 14 – Betting Tips, Odds & Predictions

With Game 1 of the 2024 State of Origin series taking place on Wednesday, Round 14 of the NRL will see many teams faced with tough decisions regarding the availability of some of their stars. And while some of those with a lot of state representatives are lucky enough to be playing on Sunday, giving those players a few days rest before returning to the field for a second time this week, others will have more difficult decisions to make. The round starts off slowly with the NRL looking to fixture teams with less Origin players earlier in the round, but as the weekend wears on things certainly pick up, with games between the Broncos and Sharks, Storm and Knights and the Panthers and the Sea Eagles among the highlights. Take a look at our preview for all seven games this long weekend below. 

This is not exactly your run of the mill Friday night blockbuster, but with neither the Dragons or Tigers boasting a whole lot of Origin players we will at least get close to full squads for both teams. Last year, these two battled it out for the Wooden Spoon and they were widely expected to do the same in 2024, but while the Tigers are right in the race, the Dragons have managed to tear themselves back out of the doldrums. They have managed to split their 12 games with six wins and six losses, but while a bunch of heavy defeats suggest that is a bit of an overperformance, they are coming off a surprise win in Penrith over the Panthers last Saturday in what was almost certainly their best performance of the year to date. If they play like that again this Friday night, they will have no issues disposing of the Tigers. After a solid start to Benji Marshall’s first season at the helm, they have now lost eight games in the trot, in their last game going down 42-28 against the Cowboys. They had a much-needed week off after that one, but that break is not likely to change the result in this one. The Tigers have generally managed to avoid blowouts so far this year and the difference between these two teams is probably not as significant as their respective records might suggest, but the Dragons on their home turf should still be able to get the job done reasonably comfortably.  

Bookmaker	James’ Tip	Odds
	Dragons to win	$1.40
	Dragons -8.5	$1.91
	Dragons/Dragons half-time/full-time double	$1.82

Predicted Squads

St. George Illawarra Dragons: 1. Tyrell Sloan 2. Sione Finau 3. Moses Suli 4. Max Feagai 5. Mathew Feagai 6. Kyle Flanagan 7. Jesse Marschke 8. Francis Molo 9. Jacob Liddle 10. Jack de Belin 11. Luciano Leilua 12. Raymond Faitala-Mariner 13. Tom Eisenhuth 14. Blake Lawrie 15. Ben Murdoch-Masila 16. Toby Couchman 17. Ryan Couchman

Wests Tigers: 1. Jahream Bula 2. Charlie Staines 3. Justin Olam 4. Brent Naden 5. Solomon Alaimalo 6. Lachlan Galvin 7. Bud Sullivan 8. Stefano Utoikamanu 9. Api Koroisau 10. Alex Twal 11. Alex Seyfarth 12. Samuela Fainu 13. Justin Matamua 14. Latu Fainu 15. Fonua Pole 16. Asu Kepaoa 17. Sione Fainu

The bottom of the table matchups continue on Saturday afternoon when the 14th placed Titans host the 17th placed Rabbitohs, though based on their most recent performances you wouldn’t necessarily know it. They are both coming off good wins leading into their byes last weekend, the Titans very impressively knocking off the Broncos in Brisbane by two points and the Rabbitohs picking up a 16-point win over the Eels. That was the Titans’ most impressive performance of the year, but they have been performing consistently well for some time now, something which can’t yet be said for the Bunnies. That was South Sydney’s first win since March and just their second for the year, though they have at least been getting increasingly competitive under interim coach Ben Hornby. The Titans, in contrast, have been playing really well for nearly two months after a disastrous start to the year. Incredibly, they have now played in seven consecutive games which have been decided by four points or less, three of which they have won – by a combined total of seven points – while the four losses have been by a combined total of just 11 points. They have been going toe to toe with teams that are a hell of a lot better than the Rabbitohs, and on their home turf should be able to finally end that streak of close games with a more comfortable win over the Rabbitohs. 

Bookmaker	James’ Tip	Odds
	Titans to win	$1.80
	Titans -1.5	$1.91
	Titans 7+	$2.45

Predicted Squads

Gold Coast Titans: 1. Keano Kini 
2. Alofiana Khan-Pereira 
3. Brian Kelly 
4. Jojo Fifita 
5. Phillip Sami 
6. Chris Randall 
7. Kieran Foran 
8. Moeaki Fotuaika 
9. Sam Verrills 
10. Josiah Pahulu 
11. David Fifita 
12. Beau Fermor 
13. Klese Haas 
 
14. Jayden Campbell 
15. Keenan Palasia 
16. Isaac Liu 
17. Erin Clark

South Sydney Rabbitohs: 1. Latrell Mitchell 2. Alex Johnston 3. Taane Milne 4. Michael Chee Kam 5. Jacob Gagai 6. Jack Wighton 7. Cody Walker 8. Davvy Moale 9. Damien Cook 10. Sean Keppie 11. Jacob Host 12. Jai Arrow 13. Keaon Koloamatangi 14. Peter Mamouzelos 15. Tallis Duncan 16. Siliva Havili 17. Tom Burgess

This is a tough one to tip given that the Cowboys play three days after Origin and, as a result, it’s unclear whether Valentine Holmes and Murray Taulagi will pull up well enough to suit up for this game. Regardless, the Cowboys have reason to be confident given their performance last week while missing those two. After two consecutive easy kills against the Rabbitohs and Tigers, both of which were much-needed, their win last Sunday carried substantially more credence, even if the Roosters were undermanned as well. They were excellent in the second half, recovering from a 16-4 deficit 50 minutes in to score the last 14 points of the game and putting themselves right on the cusp of the top eight in the process. The Warriors, meanwhile, enjoyed a bye last weekend but prior to that secured their second consecutive tight win, beating the Dolphins by four points the week after beating the Panthers by two points. They remain back in 13th place, but last year’s Preliminary Finalists are just a game behind the Sea Eagles in 7th and could easily ascend very quickly with a couple of wins. Based on the Cowboys’ performance last weekend it will be tough for the Warriors to make it three wins in as many games, but they will be recovering a couple of troops while the Cowboys, at best, will have two of their best players coming off the back of a gruelling Origin game just three days earlier – if they play at all. The Cowboys have certainly regained some of their form from earlier in the year, but the Roosters were still just the first decent team that they have beaten since their early season burst. They are never easy to beat up in Townsville, but as a significant underdog the Warriors look like decent value in this one. 

Bookmaker	James’ Tip	Odds
	Warriors to win	$2.40
	Warriors +4.5	$1.91
	Warriors 1-12	$3.70

Predicted Squads

North Queensland Cowboys: 1. Scott Drinkwater 2. Kyle Feldt 3. Tom Chester 4. Villiami Vailea 5. Braidon Burns 6. Tom Dearden 7. Chad Townsend 8. Jordan McLean 9. Jake Granville 10. Griffin Neame 11. Heilum Luki 12. Kulikefu Finefeuiaki 13. Thomas Mikaele 14. Sam McIntyre 15. Harrison Edwards 16. Jamal Shibasaki 17. Jason Taumalolo

New Zealand Warriors: 1. Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad 2. Dallin Watene-Zelezniak 3. Rocco Berry 4. Adam Pompey 5. Marcelo Montoya 6. Te Maire Martin 7. Shaun Johnson 8. Addin Fonua-Blake 9. Wayde Egan 10. Bunty Afoa 11. Jackson Ford 12. Kurt Capewell 13. Tohu Harris 14. Freddy Lussick 15. Dylan Walker 16. Mitch Barnett 17. Marata Niukore

• The Bulldogs haven’t lost a game by more than six points in two months, and have played a lot of much better teams than the Eels along the way. 
• The Sea Eagles have not lost a game by more than eight points all season long. 
• Prior to their win against the Eels in their most recent outing, the Rabbitohs had lost six games in a row and nine of their first ten. 

Multi of the Week

The games continue to get better as Saturday wears on, and the night game looms as probably the best of the season. Both teams will have a couple of important decisions to make three days after Origin, with the Broncos needing to decide whether Reece Walsh, Payne Haas and Pat Carrigan can take to the field and the Sharks needing to make the same decision about Cameron McInnes and Nicho Hynes – the latter of whom is probably up against it to play given that he has been managing a calf injury. The rest of the Broncos’ team, at least, will be well rested after their bye last weekend, and they will be champing at the bit to get back on the winners’ list after a really disappointing two-point defeat to the Titans the week prior. Despite that loss, last year’s Grand Finalists have still been solid for much of the season and take on the Sharks at exactly the right time, given the visitors’ last two performances. After a brilliant start to the year which saw them win nine of their first ten games, Cronulla have flagged significantly in the past fortnight, losing first to the Panthers in dreadful fashion, going down 42-0 in that one, before they lost to an Eels team which had been playing as badly as nearly anyone last weekend. Granted Parramatta did have a couple of key players back, but nonetheless for a team trying to establish themselves as a Premiership contender it wasn’t a particularly impressive performance. Based on the way that they have played the last two weeks, they will struggle at Suncorp Stadium even against a Broncos team which will potentially be without a couple of its best players. If Nicho Hynes does miss this game it will be a really significant blow for the Sharks, and with his likely absence combined with their poor form over the past couple of weeks, the visitors look likely headed for a third consecutive loss. 

Bookmaker	James’ Tip	Odds
	Broncos to win	$1.55
	Broncos -5.5	$1.91
	Broncos 7+	$2.00

Predicted Squads

Brisbane Broncos: 1. Reece Walsh 2. Corey Oates 3. Kotoni Staggs 4. Selwyn Cobbo 5. Deine Mariner 6. Ezra Mam 7. Jock Madden 8. Corey Jensen 9. Billy Walters 10. Payne Haas 11. Brendan Piakura 12. Jordan Riki 13. Patrick Carrigan 14. Tyson Smoothy 15. Xavier Willison 16. Kobe Hetherington 17. Jack Gosiewski

Cronulla Sharks: 1. Will Kennedy 2. Sione Katoa 3. Jesse Ramien 4. Kayal Iro 5. Ronaldo Mulitalo 6. Daniel Atkinson 7. Braydon Trindall 8. Thomas Hazelton 9. Blayke Brailey 10. Oregon Kaufusi 11. Briton Nikora 12. Teig Wilton 13. Jack Williams 14. Sifa Talakai 15. Toby Rudolf 16. Royce Hunt 17. Braden Hamlin-Uele

Despite losing their most recent game, the Storm are now officially on top of the ladder after they earned two points for their second bye last weekend while the Sharks went down for the second time in two weeks. But they certainly won’t be resting on their laurels; in fact quite the opposite. They come into this game after a disappointing few weeks, having lost two of their first three games after dropping just one of their first eight. They have been really solid throughout the course of the year, but their draw has seen them play seven games at home – where they are 6-1 – compared to just four on the road. This weekend they will again be at AAMI Park, and with plenty of away games to come over the remainder of the season they will be eager to bank another win on their home soil. There is some possibility that Ryan Papenhuyzen will return from an ankle injury in what would be a huge boost for the Storm, though they will be without Cameron Munster, who is not due to return until about Round 20. Still, if their opponent plays like they did last weekend, the home side will likely dish out a pretty comfortable defeat to retain their spot atop the ladder. The Knights had enjoyed four tight wins in a row to get themselves right back into the finals mix last weekend, but they were thoroughly outclassed by a much-improved Bulldogs team, going down 32-2 on their home turf last Friday night. There was no sugar-coating that performance, which saw them score a penalty goal in the sixth minute then fail to score again, and it would have stung even more given that it came against a side likely to be competing for a similar spot at the bottom of the top eight as them. As bad as that performance was it’s not reflective of where the Knights are at, but even with Munster missing – and particularly if Papenhuyznen does return – the Storm should be too strong in this one. 

Bookmaker	James’ Tip	Odds
	Storm to win	$1.22
	Storm 1-12	$3.20
	Under 46.5 total match points	$1.88

Predicted Squads

Melbourne Storm: 1. Ryan Papenhuyzen 2. Sua Fa'alogo 3. Reimis Smith 4. Nick Meaney 5. Grant Anderson 6. Tyran Wishart 7. Jahrome Hughes 8. Tui Kamikamica 9. Bronson Garlick 10. Christian Welch 11. Shawn Blore 12. Eli Katoa 13. Josh King 14. Harry Grant 15. Trent Loiero 16. Nelson Asofa-Solomona 17. Alec MacDonald

Newcastle Knights: 1. David Armstrong 2. Enari Tuala 3. Dane Gagai 4. Krystian Mapapalangi 5. Greg Marzhew 6. Jack Cogger 7. Jackson Hastings 8. Jacob Saifiti 9. Jayden Brailey 10. Leo Thompson 11. Kai Pearce-Paul 12. Dylan Lucas 13. Adam Elliott 14. Phoenix Crossland 15. Tyson Frizell 16. Jack Hetherington 17. Brodie Jones

As usual, the Panthers will have plenty of players suiting up for State of Origin, but with their Round 14 game not taking place until Sunday, the expectation is that a number of them will back up and play in this game. The same applies for the Sea Eagles trio of Haumole Olakau’atu, Jake Trbojevic and of course Daly Cherry-Evans, who will look to lead the Sea Eagles to a second consecutive impressive win after knocking off the Storm by six points last weekend. This rounds out a super difficult three-week period for the Sea Eagles, who will have faced the Broncos, Storm and Panthers in three consecutive weeks, but having lost by the Broncos to just a point before they beat the Storm they have done a pretty good job of negotiating that period so far. But the Panthers will be eager to atone for an uncharacteristic performance last week which saw them lose by 12 points to the Dragons in Penrith, but with all of those Origin stars missing that game they will not be panicking about the result too much. They will still be below full strength for this game, with at least a couple of their Origin players likely to sit things out, but they will field a stronger line-up than what they did last weekend. Based on how the Sea Eagles have performed over the past couple of weeks, the Panthers will need to be on their game in this one to avoid dropping a second consecutive game, but they haven’t lost two in a row much at all over the past few years. The Sea Eagles can give them a run for their money, but the Panthers should be able to slog out a hard-fought win to maintain their hold on a spot in the top four. 

Bookmaker	James’ Tip	Odds
	Panthers to win	$1.36
	Panthers 1-12	$2.95
	Under 44.5 total match points	$1.88

Predicted Squads

Penrith Panthers: 1. Daine Laurie 2. Sunia Turuva 3. Izack Tago 4. Paul Alamoti 5. Jesse McLean 6. Jack Cole 7. Jarome Luai 8. Liam Henry 9. Mitch Kenny 10. James Fisher-Harris 11. Scott Sorensen 12. Luke Garner 13. Lindsay Smith 14. Trent Toelau 15. Matt Eisenhuth 16. Mavrik Geyer 17. Tyrone Peachey

Manly Sea Eagles: 1. Lehi Hopoate 2. Jason Saab 3. Tommy Talau 4. Reuben Garrick 5. Raymond Tuaimalo Vaega 6. Luke Brooks 7. Jake Arthur 8. Taniela Paseka 9. Karl Lawton 10. Josh Aloiai 11. Corey Waddell 12. Ben Trbojevic 13. Nathan Brown 14. Jake Simpkin 15. Jake Trbojevic 16. Haumole Olakau'atu 17. Ethan Bullemor

It’s safe to say that the King’s Birthday Clash hasn’t exactly lived up to expectations over the past couple of years, or since its inception really. The Bulldogs and Eels have only competed in it twice, the Bulldogs winning the first 34-4 and the Eels winning last year 34-12, but in the prior six editions since its inception in 2015 – each of which saw the Bulldogs play the Dragons – just one game was decided by less than 13 points. This Monday, however, it seems very possible that we will finally get a good one. The Bulldogs come into the game on the back of a hugely impressive fortnight which has seen them beat the Dragons by 32 points and the Knights by 30 points, but their good form has stretched well beyond that. After a poor first fortnight, they have played well virtually every week since Round 3, winning six of their last ten and losing the rest pretty competitively to establish themselves as, at long last, a legitimate finals threat. The Eels, meanwhile, have been in dreadful form, but lo and behold with a couple of key inclusions in Clint Gutherson and Mitchell Moses last week, they finally got back on the winners’ list after five consecutive losses with an upset 12-point win over the Sharks. Both teams will have a couple of big outs this week and for many to come, with the Bulldogs set to be without Josh Addo-Carr for at least two months after he suffered a hamstring injury, while Bailey Simonsson will miss the rest of the season for the Eels after rupturing his ACL. Significant though those blows are, both teams come into the game after really impressive performances last week, but while the Bulldogs have been doing that for an extended period of time, the Eels had been woeful prior to that win over the Sharks. They will be hoping and expecting to perform a hell of a lot better now that Gutherson and Moses are back and likely they will, but the Bulldogs remain a little underrated considering how consistent they have been for so long, and can cause an upset win in the last game of Round 14. 

Bookmaker	James’ Tip	Odds
	Bulldogs to win	$2.20
	Bulldogs +3.5	$1.91
	Bulldogs 1-12	$3.50

Predicted Squads

Canterbury Bulldogs: 1. Connor Tracey 2. Blake Wilson 3. Bronson Xerri 4. Stephen Crichton 5. Jacob Kiraz 6. Matt Burton 7. Toby Sexton 8. Max King 9. Reed Mahoney 10. Sam Hughes 11. Jacob Preston 12. Jaeman Salmon 13. Kurt Mann 14. Bailey Hayward 15. Josh Curran 16. Kurtis Morrin 17. Lipoi Hopoi

Parramatta Eels: 1. Clint Gutherson 2. Maika Sivo 3. Will Penisini 4. Sean Russell 5. Blaize Talagi 6. Dylan Brown 7. Mitch Moses 8. Reagan Campbell-Gillard 9. Brendan Hands 10. Junior Paulo 11. Kelma Tuilagi 12. Bryce Cartwright 13. J'maine Hopgood 14. Joey Lussick 15. Shaun Lane 16. Makahesi Makatoa 17. Joe Ofahengaue

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