AFL 2023 Round 7 – Betting Tips, Odds & Predictions

By:
James Salmon
30/04/2023
AFL Betting Tips
AFL 2023 Round 7
AFL 2023 Round 7

ANZAC Round, particularly the end of it, well and truly lived up to expectations, with close to 180,000 people packing into the MCG over Monday night and Tuesday to see the Demons beat the Tigers and the Magpies beat the Bombers in two enthralling games. The AFL world gets just a couple of days to catch its collective breath before Round 7 kicks off with an intriguing clash between the Saints and the Power, beginning a round which will see the Lions and the Dockers face off in a match which precedes the Battle of the Bridge between Sydney and GWS on Saturday, while Sunday will play host to a couple of huge games between the Bombers and Cats, and the Crows and Magpies. Take a look at all the odds, tips and previews for every game below.

Round 7 Fixtures

FixturesInfo (AEST)Home OddsAway Odds
Saints vs PowerFriday, 28th of April at 7.50pm$1.53$2.50
Lions vs DockersSaturday, 29th of April at 1.45pm$1.14$5.75
Swans vs GiantsSaturday, 29th of April at 2.10pm$1.24$4.10
Bulldogs vs HawksSaturday, 29th of April at 4.35pm$1.20$4.50
Demons vs KangaroosSaturday, 29th of April at 7.25pm$1.07$8.50
Eagles vs BluesSaturday, 29th of April at 7.30pm$3.90$1.26
Bombers vs CatsSunday, 30th of April at 1.10pm$2.80$1.44
Tigers vs SunsSunday, 30th of April at 3.20pm$1.40$3.00
Crows vs MagpiesSunday, 30th of April at 4.40pm$2.30$1.62

St. Kilda Saints vs Port Adelaide Power

With each passing week, the Saints’ claim as a legitimate top-tier team is growing under Ross the Boss. Last week, they passed their test against the Blues with flying colours, running away with the game in the third quarter before shutting things down in typical Ross Lyon fashion to make it nigh on impossible for Carlton to mount a comeback. They’ve conceded by far the lowest number of points this season, and are sitting pretty atop the ladder with a 5-1 record and a percentage of 142.9%. The Power, meanwhile, have come into a nice patch of form themselves, with their latest victory against the Eagles making it three on the trot. That win was nothing to write home about; most teams could beat the Eagles with their eyes closed at the moment, and Port did little more than what they needed to in order to earn a comfortable victory. Still, their form is good, and they should be able to at least mount a challenge. The Saints, however, have been undeniable so far this season. Don’t expect them to win by a huge margin, but they are a legitimately good side and should be able to get the job done by three or four goals on their home turf.

BookmakerJames’ TipOdds
Saints to win$1.53
Power to score under 71.5 points$1.89
Saints -12.5$1.87

Predicted Squads

St. KildaSt. Kilda Saints: B: J.Battle, D.Howard, C.Wilkie HB: B.Paton, J.Sinclair, N.Wanganeen-Milera C: M.Wood, S.Ross, R.Byrnes HF: M.Phillipou, B.Hill, J.Higgins F: M.Owens, J.Gresham, T.Membrey FOLL: R.Marshall, B.Crouch, J.Steele  I/C: H.Clark, L.Stocker, D.Butler, Z.Cordy 

Port Adelaide PowerPort Adelaide Power: B: A.Aliir, T.McKenzie, T.Jonas  HB: M.Bergman, R.Burton, D.Houston C: T.Boak, O.Wines, X.Duursma HF: J.McEntee, D.Byrne-Jones, S.Powell-Pepper F: J.Rioli, C. Dixon, T.Marshall FOLL: J.Finlayson, C.Rozee, Z.Butters I/C: O. Lord, W.Drew, J.Horne-Francis, B.Teakle

Brisbane Lions vs Fremantle Dockers

It’s a sad reflection of Fremantle’s start to the year that they are such significant underdogs in this game. Both of these sides won 15 games last year, but while Brisbane appear to be working up towards a similar season in 2023, the Dockers do not. The Lions started the year in average form, but a win against Collingwood kickstarted a three-game winning streak, and they now found themselves with a 4-2 record. The Dockers, meanwhile, just cannot find the form which made them such a consistently good team last year. A come-from-behind win against the Suns in Gather Round looked like it had the potential to resurrect their season, but they backed it up with a woeful showing on their home turf against the Bulldogs last Friday night, going down by 49 points on the big stage. A team which was such a defensive juggernaut last year, they have not had the same ability to restrict teams so far in 2023, and aren’t doing a lot of scoring themselves. They are capable of much more than they’ve shown so far this season, and it’s hard to imagine they won’t find something at some point. In Brisbane against the Lions, however, is a tricky place to do that. This would have loomed as a great matchup last season, but it’s hard to see anyone winning this one but Brisbane. With minimal expectations the Dockers might be able to put in an improved performance, but the Lions should be too good.

BookmakerJames’ TipOdds
Lions 1-24$4.00
Under 178.5 total match points$1.89
Dockers +36.5$1.80

Predicted Squads

Brisbane LionsBrisbane Lions: B: B.Starcevich, J.Payne, D.Joyce HB: C.McKenna, H.Andrews, D.Wilmot C: W.Ashcroft, Z.Bailey, J.Berry HF: C.Cameron, J.Gunston, H.McCluggage F: D.Zorko, J.Daniher, E.Hipwood FOLL: O.McInerney, J.Dunkley, L.Neale  I/C: D.Rich, L.McCarthy, C.Rayner, K.Coleman

Fremantle DockersFremantle Dockers: B: B.Cox, A.Pearce, H.Young HB: J.Clark, L.Ryan, C.Wagner C: J.Aish, W.Brodie, E.Hughes HF: M.Walters, L.Jackson, B.Banfield F: L.Schultz, S.Sturt, J.O‘Meara FOLL: S.Darcy, A.Brayshaw, M.Johnson I/C: J.Amiss, S. Switkowski, C.Serong, N. O’Driscoll

Sydney Swans vs GWS Giants

The Battle of the Bridge, as the AFL have tried so hard to market it, hasn’t often been the brilliant matchup the league want it to be, and with these two teams expected to be at opposite ends of the ladder this year this may not be any different. However, the Swans put in an uncharacteristically poor performance last week, and the residual talent hanging around on the Giants list is enabling them to be fairly consistent against good teams so far this year. Sydney have now lost three of their last four after their capitulation in last weekend’s Grand Final rematch against Geelong, and with a 3-3 record they badly need to get back on the winners’ list soon if they’re to make their way back into the top four this season. GWS, meanwhile, are not exactly giant killers this year, but despite losing four of their last five none of those losses have been by more than 21 points. That seems like a likely outcome again in this game. Sydney were woeful last weekend but should be able to bounce back, but the Giants won’t give it to them on a platter. 

BookmakerJames’ TipOdds
Swans 1-24$3.35
Swans to win$1.23
Giants +25.5$1.87

Predicted Squads

Sydney SwansSydney Swans: B: D. Rampe, T. McCartin, H.Cunningham HB: O.Florent, J.Lloyd, N.Blakey C: D.Stephens, C.Mills, J.McInerney HF: E.Gulden, W.Hayward, J.Rowbottom F: I.Heeney, L. Franklin, T.Papley FOLL: P.Ladhams, L.Parker, Ch. Warner I/C: B. Campbell, L. McDonald, R.Clarke, H.McLean

GWS GiantsGWS Giants: B: C. Idun, N. Haynes, I.Cumming HB: L.Whitfield, J.Buckley, L.Ash C: F.Callaghan, J.Kelly, D.Lloyd HF: B.Daniels, H.Himmelberg, A. Cadman F: T.Greene, J.Hogan, J.Peatling FOLL: M.Flynn, T. Green, S.Coniglio I/C: H.Rowston, H, Perryman, C. Brown, X.O‘Halloran

  • The Cats have won their last four games against the Bombers by an average of over 51 points.
  • The Eagles have lost each of their last four games by at least 40 points.
  • The Demons have won four of their last five games against the Kangaroos, with each of those wins coming by at least five goals.

Multi of the Week

LegsOdds
Cats 25+$2.30
Blues 40+$2.65
Demons -44.5$1.90
Bet $10 for $115.81  with PlayUp

Western Bulldogs vs Hawthorn Hawks

The Doggies are a hard team to trust, but after their impressive win last weekend they’ve now won three of their last four and are increasingly often looking like the top eight side this group has the potential to be. That 49-point win over Fremantle put a lot of heat on the Dockers, but the Dogs deserve plenty of credit; they were terrific from pillar to post, and with so much talent littered through their midfield and plenty of targets up forward they showed what they’re capable of under Friday night lights. This weekend, they should have no problems making it four from five, but as a team which has been renowned for its inconsistency in recent years, they won’t want to take their foot off the gas. The Hawks aren’t a good side and are dead last for a reason, but they’ve lost each of their last two games by under a goal and looked for all money set to earn their second win of the season against the Crows last weekend until Darcy Fogarty foiled their plans. This should be an easy win for the Bulldogs, and if they want to position themselves as a legitimate top eight and potentially top four team, this is the kind of game they need to win easily.

BookmakerJames’ TipOdds
Bulldogs to win$1.20
Bulldogs 40+$2.60
Bulldogs -28.5$1.87

Predicted Squads

Western BulldogsWestern Bulldogs: B: J.Johannisen, L.Jones, T.O‘Brien HB: B.Dale, A.Keath, E.Richards C: J.Macrae, M.Bontempelli, B.Williams HF: T.McLean, J.Ugle-Hagan, C.Weightman F: A.Jones, A.Naughton, R.Lobb FOLL: T.English, B. Smith, A.Treloar I/C: T.Duryea, C.Daniel, O.Baker, A.Scott

Hawthorn Hawthorn Hawks: B: C.Jiath, D.Grainger-Barras, S.Frost HB: J.Impey, B.Hardwick, J.Sicily C: C.Nash, J.Worpel, K.Amon HF: H.Morrison, D.Moore, C.Macdonald F: C.Wingard, F.Greene, L.Breust FOLL: N.Reeves, J.Newcombe, N.Long I/C: C.Mackenzie, S.Mitchell, T.Brockman, J. Scrimshaw

Melbourne Demons vs North Melbourne Kangaroos

After an impressive start to the season things are beginning to unravel a bit for the young Kangaroos, and after four consecutive losses things don’t get any easier this Saturday night. The Dees have been a bit up and down so far this season, and while they weren’t at their best in their ANZAC Eve clash against the Tigers last Monday, it was a relatively high-quality game and they switched into gear with the match on the line in the last quarter and a half. There are a few warning signs in this game; a midfield boasting the likes of Petracca, Oliver and Viney should feast on the Kangaroos’ own clearance team, while the Roos’ young forward line will struggle with what will likely be relatively minimal opportunity against one of the most reliable defences in the league. Alastair Clarkson will no doubt have a few tricks up his sleeve to limit the damage, but the talent differential in this game is so significant that it’s hard to see any result other than a serious drubbing by the Demons.

BookmakerJames’ TipOdds
Demons/Demons half-time/full-time$1.17
Demons 60+$2.75
Demons -44.5$1.87

Predicted Squads

Melbourne Demons Melbourne Demons : B: H.Petty, S.May, T.Rivers HB: K.Chandler, J.Lever, E.Langdon C: A.Brayshaw, C.Oliver, L.Hunter HF: J.McVee, T.McDonald, A.Neal-Bullen F: K.Pickett, J.van Rooyen, B.Fritsch FOLL: M.Gawn, J.Viney, C.Petracca I/C: B.Grundy, M.Hibberd, J.Jordon, T.Sparrow, 

North Melbourne North Melbourne Kangaroos: B: G.Logue, B.McKay, L.McDonald  HB: J.Ziebell, A.Corr, D.Tucker C: B.Scott, B.Cunnington, H.Sheezel HF: J.Stephenson, C.Comben, C.Taylor F: C.Zurhaar, N.Larkey, K.Turner FOLL: T.Goldstein, L.Davies-Uniacke, J. Simpkin I/C: A.Hall, P.Curtis, T. Powell, D.Howe

West Coast Eagles vs Carlton Blues

A relatively mundane Saturday night of football will see another contender for the Wooden Spoon take on another contender for the top four, and even if the Blues have their issues, this game provides them with a great opportunity to get back into form. The Eagles are nothing short of irrelevant at the moment, and though they’ve done well to limit their last two losses to under 50 points, the fact that that is an achievement is reflective of where they are at. Neither Port Adelaide nor Geelong needed to play anywhere near their best to earn those results, and though they get to return to Optus Stadium this weekend, the Eagles aren’t likely going to be able to compete with the talent of the Blues. Carlton have been very disappointing the last two weeks, losing relatively comfortably to both the Saints and the Crows, but the Eagles are a much easier kettle of fish. Their talented midfield has been maligned for their inability to translate winning the footy into kicking goals, but that should change this week. Expect the likes of Cripps, Cerra and Walsh to clean up in the midfield, while up forward McKay and Curnow should reap the rewards with a couple of big bags of goals.

BookmakerJames’ TipOdds
Blues to win$1.26
Blues 40+$2.75
Blues -26.5$1.87

Predicted Squads

West Coast EaglesWest Coast Eagles: B: A.Witherden, T.Barrass, L.Duggan HB: S. Hurn, J.Rotham, J.Hunt C: L.Edwards, E. Yeo, G.Clark HF: S.Petrevski-Seton, J.Darling, R.Ginbey F: J.Petruccelle, O.Allen, J.Waterman FOLL: B.Williams, T.Kelly, A.Gaff I/C: J. Jones, L.Foley, C.West, J.Culley

Carlton BluesCarlton Blues: B: N.Newman, J.Weitering, Le. Young HB: A. Saad, M.McGovern, B.Acres C: S.Walsh, P.Cripps, O.Hollands HF: E.Curnow, H.McKay, J.Silvagni F: C.Durdin, C.Curnow, A. Cincotta FOLL: M.Pittonet, G.Hewett, A.Cerra I/C: Player M.Kennedy, Z.Fisher, L. Cowan, T. De Koning

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Essendon Bombers vs Geelong Cats

The Bombers have been one of the surprise packets of the season so far this year, looking like a much improved outfit under new coach Brad Scott. After beating the Demons a fortnight ago they looked set to beat the other nominal Premiership favourite when they led comfortably at three-quarter time of the ANZAC Day clash. Unfortunately they were run down by the impressive Pies in a disappointing last quarter, but while they’ll be frustrated at that result, they played some very good football for large patches of the game. This weekend, they’ll need every bit of that form and more against the Cats. The reigning premiers are beginning to flex their collective muscle after a slow start to the year, and their 93-point win over the Swans last weekend was about as impressive as it gets. They might be sitting in ninth, but a percentage of 137.7% is more reflective of where Geelong is at. This is another great test for Essendon – who are probably getting very sick of great tests in what is an incredibly difficult run of games – but with a five-day break following an intense ANZAC Day game, they might struggle to keep pace with the Cats.

BookmakerJames’ TipOdds
Cats to win$1.44
Cats 25+$2.50
Cats -14.5$1.91

Predicted Squads

Essendon Essendon Bombers: B: Redman, Zerk-Thatcher, Ridley HB: Hind, Kelly, McGrath C: Heppell, Shiel, Durham HF: Menzie, Weideman, Caldwell F: Perkins, Stringer, Martin FOLL: Draper, Parish, Setterfield I/C: Langford, Snelling, Davey Jnr, Phillips

Geelong CatsGeelong Cats: B: E.Ratugolea, S.De Koning, T.Stewart HB: J.Kolodjashnij, M.Blicavs, Z.Guthrie C: I.Smith, M.Holmes, Z.Tuohy HF: M.Duncan, T.Hawkins, G.Rohan F: O.Henry, J.Cameron, B.Close FOLL: J.Ceglar, T.Atkins, P.Dangerfield I/C: J. Bews, M.O‘Connor, C.Guthrie, G.Miers

Richmond Tigers vs Gold Coast Suns

It’s hard to believe the Tigers are sitting in 16th on the ladder six rounds in, but things aren’t all doom and gloom at Tigerland. Though they’ve lost four in a row, those losses have all been to good teams and they’ve been in each and every one of them. The latest, a loss to the Demons on ANZAC Day Eve, saw them lead at half-time after a really impressive first couple of quarters, and though they flailed late they again showed what they’re capable of in patches. This once mighty team is going through a transition phase, no doubt, and may not be the Premiership contender many expected them to be this year, but they remain a side with plenty of top-end talent and a number of good young players coming through. They do, however, badly need a win, and this weekend they should get exactly that. The Suns did what they had to do against North in a make or break game for coach Stewart Dew, winning by 43 points after consecutive losses the fortnight prior, but they lost captain Touk Miller to a knee injury in a major blow. Once again, they look like a competitive team, but one which probably won’t play in September. After a run of tough games, this one gives the Tigers a chance to finally get a win on the board, and they should be able to do it with relative ease at Marvel Stadium.

BookmakerJames’ TipOdds
Tigers to win$1.40
Tigers 25+$2.25
Tigers -17.5$1.87

Predicted Squads

Richmond TigersRichmond Tigers: B: N.Balta, D.Grimes, T.Young HB: J. Short, N.Vlastuin, D.Rioli C: K.McIntosh, T.Taranto, M.Pickett HF: L. Baker, D.Martin, R.Mansell F: T. Cotchin, N.Cumberland, J.Riewoldt FOLL: S.Ryan, S.Bolton, J.Hopper I/C: D.Prestia, T.Sonsie, H.Ralphsmith, J.Ross

Gold Coast SunsGold Coast Suns: B: S.Lemmens, S.Collins, D.Macpherson HB: B.Long, C.Ballard, W.Powell C: L.Weller, B. Fiorini, D.Swallow HF: B.Ainsworth, M.Chol, B.Ellis F: N.Holman, B.King, J.Lukosius FOLL: J.Witts, M.Rowell, N.Anderson I/C: M.Andrew, L.Casboult, A. Sexton, M.Rosas

Adelaide Crows vs Collingwood Magpies

The Crows look much improved this year, there’s no doubt about that, but last weekend they very nearly suffered a hugely disappointing loss against the Hawks. Fortunately for them Darcy Fogarty saved the day, but the game was a reminder that they’re far from the finished product. On their day they look hard to stop, but with a lot of youth running around they will likely have some down days this year. They’ll want to make sure this Sunday is not one of those, because if it is the Magpies will capitalise. Collingwood have established themselves as the Premiership favourite alongside the Dees so far this season, winning five of their first six, and though they were overwhelmed by the Bombers for large parts of their ANZAC Day clash, they once again proved their incredible ability to overrun teams late with a brilliant last quarter. Nick Daicos is unstoppable, Josh isn’t far behind, Pendlebury is still extraordinary at the age of 35, their defence is terrific; there isn’t much not to like about this side. As impressive as the Crows have been this year, the Magpies should be too good in this game, even coming off a five-day break. They look like decent value to end the round.

BookmakerJames’ TipsOdds
Magpies to win$1.62
Magpies 20+$2.60
Magpies -8.5$1.87

Predicted Squads

Adelaide CrowsAdelaide Crows: B: T.Doedee, N.Murray, M.Michalanney HB: B.Smith, J.Butts, M.Hinge C: J.Soligo, J.Dawson, L.Sholl HF: I.Rankine, R.Thilthorpe, J.Rachele F: T.Walker, D.Fogarty, L.Murphy FOLL: R.O‘Brien, R.Laird, B.Keays I/C: R.Sloane, L.Pedlar, C.Jones, W.Milera

Collingwood MagpiesCollingwood Magpies: B: Quaynor, Moore, Ruscoe HB: Maynard, Frampton, Noble C: Sidebottom, N.Daicos, J.Daicos HF: Hill, Mihocek, Elliott F: McCreery, De Goey, Ginnivan FOLL: Johnson, Pendlebury, Crisp I/C: Mitchell, Murphy, Hoskin-Elliott, Markov

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