AFLW 2023 Round 9 – Betting tips & Predictions

By: James Salmon
AFL Betting Tips
AFLW 2023 Round 9

The race to the AFLW finals could hardly be any tighter. With just two games to go in the home and away season, just one game separates the Bombers in fifth from the Dockers in 13th, while there are no less than six teams sitting on 4-4 among that grouping. The number of different potential finals matchups is too great to even bother trying to predict, and unsurprisingly, most games this weekend will have huge repercussions for both the teams involved, as well as the teams around them on the ladder. It’s set to be an enthralling weekend of footy, so let’s dive right in and take a look at how each game is shaping up.

Round 9 Fixtures

FixturesInfo (AEST)Home OddsAway Odds
Suns vs GiantsFriday, October 27 at 7.45pm$1.25$3.85
Demons vs DockersSaturday, October 28 at 1.05pm$1.01$14.00
Bombers vs BluesSaturday, October 28 at 3.05pm$1.62 $2.25
Saints vs LionsSaturday, October 28 at 3.05pm$8.50$1.06
Eagles vs BulldogsSaturday, October 28 at 5.05pm$1.55$2.40
Tigers vs CatsSaturday, October 28 at 7.15pm$2.15$1.68
Swans vs MagpiesSunday, October 29 at 1.05pm$3.20$1.34
Crows vs KangaroosSunday, October 29 at 3.05pm$1.53$2.45
Hawks vs Power Sunday, October 28 at 5.05pm$1.45$2.70

Gold Coast Suns vs GWS Giants

The Suns played out an enthralling draw against Yartapulti last weekend, but important as those two points were they would have left disappointed that they couldn’t earn the full four against a team which has won just a solitary game all year. Gold Coast hung onto their spot in seventh on the ladder, but they’re very precariously perched there and their strong percentage has now been rendered irrelevant. With six teams just half a game beneath them, they will need to win certainly one and probably both of their final two games of the home and away season, though they shouldn’t have too many problems doing that this weekend – having said that, the same could have been said leading into last weekend’s game. And while the Giants have won just two games all season, those two wins have both come in the last three games, including an impressive defeat of the Blues last week. They’re playing as well as they have all season, and if they continue that trend they’ll certainly give the Suns a run for their money, particularly if Gold Coast plays like they did last week. But despite the optimism GWS will have after a solid few weeks, with a spot in the finals on the line the Suns should be too strong.

BookmakerJames’ TipOdds
Suns to win$1.25
Suns 25+$2.60
Suns -14.5$1.88

Predicted Squads

Gold Coast SunsGold Coast Suns: B: E.Barwick 6 V.Saad 39 HB: W.Randell 15 L.Ahrens 7 D.Davies 3 C: G.Clayden 18 C.Whitfort 4 M.Brancatisano 5 HF: N.McLaughlin 11 T.Bohanna - C 12 D.D’;Arcy 20 F: J.Dupuy 27 J.Stanton 17 FOLL: L.Bella 2 A.Drennan 33 C.Rowbottom 8 I/C: E.Keaney 30 E.Maurer 10 M.Girvan 25 A.Bush 19 T.Meyer 34 E: J.Smith 1 C.Fitzpatrick 9 J.Membrey 21

GWS GiantsGWS Giants: B: K.Smith 4 P.Randall 21 HB: C.Dalton 11 C.McCormick 25 T.Evans 18 C: E.Pease 33 A.Dallaway 30 A.Eva - C 2 5 HF: J.Doyle 5 Z.Goldsworthy 7 I.Huntington 12 F: G.Garnett 17 R.Beeson 6 FOLL: F.Davies 20 N.Barr 8 H.Zreika 24 I/C: J.Hicks 29 I.McLeay 16 T.Germech 15 R.Caris 26 J.Grierson 10 E: C.Miller 9 M.Brazendale 23 T.Cattle 40

Narrm Demons vs Walyalup Dockers

Just a couple of weeks after suffering their first spot on the season and relinquishing top spot on the ladder as a result, the Dees are back on top following an imposing defeat of the third placed Kangaroos last weekend, after the previously undefeated Crows went down to the Lions. With a robust percentage of 266%, they essentially now have a two-game buffer inside the top two and should be able to earn a home Qualifying Final regardless of results over the next fortnight. Still, they’ll be eager to enter the finals with their tails up, and while they’ll be expected to do so, the Dockers did show some good signs last weekend. With their own finals hopes set to be dashed in the case of defeat, Walyalup proved far too good for the Saints, securing a 24-point win to keep their postseason ambitions alive. But with teams stacked up sharing a 4-4 record with them, and the Dockers percentage the worst of that bunch, they’ll almost certainly need two wins to make the top eight. Expect them to come out firing with everything to play for, but the Demons are a cut above and should be able to dash their opposition’s finals hopes on Saturday.

BookmakerJames’ TipOdds
Demons 25+$1.20
Demons 40+$1.60
Demons -46.5$1.87

Predicted Squads

Melbourne DemonsNarrm Demons: B: L.Birch 9 T.Gillard 17 HB: S.Goldrick 23 M.Gay 3 M.Chaplin 13 C: B.Mackin 31 T.Hanks 5 E.McNamara 22 HF: A.Bannan 16 L.Mithen 14 E.Zanker 29 F: M.Fitzsimon 24 K.Hore - C 10 FOLL: L.Pearce 15 E.West 11 S.Heath 30 I/C: C.Wilson 20 O.Purcell 2 G.Campbell 1 P.Paxman 4 C.Sherriff 18 E: J.Ivey 19 R.Watt 26 G.Gall 27

Walyalup DockersWalyalup Dockers: B: L.Birch 9 T.Gillard 17 HB: S.Goldrick 23 M.Gay 3 M.Chaplin 13 C: B.Mackin 31 T.Hanks 5 E.McNamara 22 HF: A.Bannan 16 L.Mithen 14 E.Zanker 29 F: M.Fitzsimon 24 K.Hore - C 10 FOLL: L.Pearce 15 E.West 11 S.Heath 30 I/C: C.Wilson 20 O.Purcell 2 G.Campbell 1 P.Paxman 4 C.Sherriff 18 E: J.Ivey 19 R.Watt 26 G.Gall 27

St. Kilda Saints vs Brisbane Lions

The Saints are another of the myriad of teams locked at 4-4, after their four-game win streak was brought to a disappointing close by the Dockers last weekend. They’re now up against it to play finals, particularly with a tough game to come this weekend which could all but end their ambitions. The Lions have been terrific all season, but they put in perhaps their best performance yet against the undefeated Crows last weekend, knocking them off by three points to most likely secure their spot in the top four and the double chance that comes with it. They’re just a game ahead of the Bombers in fifth but plenty of percentage too, so assuming they win at least one of their last two they’ll remain in the highly coveted top four, and may even if they don’t. Still, they’d no doubt prefer to keep their destiny in their own hands, and a win against the Saints this weekend would be a great way to do just that. St. Kilda have been solid enough for over a month now and had been in winning form until last weekend, but the Lions are roaring towards the finals and should prove to be too strong.

BookmakerJames’ TipOdds
Lions 1-39$1.72
Lions 1-24$3.00
Saints +36.5$1.87

Predicted Squads

St. Kilda St. Kilda Saints: B: S.Watson 12 B.Pinchin 24 HB: H.Priest - C 14 G.Kelly 11 B.Jakobsson 8 C: M.McDonald 1 T.Smith 6 A.Richards 22 HF: J.Wardlaw 30 N.Stevens 2 G.Patrikios 21 F: E.Friend 16 N.Xenos 27 FOLL: S.Nalder 34 J.Lambert 9 O.Vesely 23 I/C: A.Burke 3 D.Jolliffe 4 J.Anderson 7 N.Exon 15 M.Boyd 29 E: R.Dillon 25 C.Matthews 28 N.Plane 32

Brisbane LionsBrisbane Lions: B: P.Monahan 11 S.Campbell 20 HB: P.Boltz 15 N.Grider 10 J.Ellenger 5 C: O.O’Dwyer 9 I.Dawes 17 S.Conway 12 HF: L.Postlethwaite 6 D.Davidson 14 C.Mullins 28 F: T.Smith 31 C.Hodder 21 FOLL: T.Hickie 2 B.Koenen - C 3 A.Anderson 18 I/C: J.Dunne 8 E.Hampson 7 M.Pauga 27 D.Heslop 23 B.Smith 16

  • The Crows have a 4-0 record at home, and boast a percentage of 210.8% in those four games.
  • The Magpies have won four games in a row, all of which were against teams higher on the ladder than the Sydney Swans are currently.
  • Of the Demons’ last four wins, three have been by at least 59 points, while the latest was a 23-point victory over a North Melbourne side which had lost just one game all season.

Multi of the Week

Crows -7.5$1.90
Magpies -14.5$1.90
Demons -46.5$1.90
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Essendon Bombers vs Carlton Blues

This is a big one. Both the Bombers and the Blues are locked right amongst the cluster of teams fighting for spots in the bottom half of the top eight, though the way they played last weekend neither of them is exactly heading to the finals in any sort of great form. The Bombers, playing to both secure their spot in the top eight and to give themselves a chance of top four, could muster up just 19 points against an Eagles team which has been uncompetitive all season, going down by four points. Other results fell their way and enabled them to stay in fifth, but two losses to end the season could still see them fall outside the top eight. The Blues, meanwhile, also retained their ladder position despite a disappointing loss, going down by two points to the Giants to take their record to 4-4. In ninth spot, a win this weekend would likely see them jump into the top eight and potentially as high as fifth, while with a loss they could theoretically end up in 13th. They’ve lost two on the trot to lose their spot in the top eight, but they’re still very capable of winning this game and look like the value selection.

BookmakerJames’ TipOdds
Blues to win$2.25
Blues 1-39$2.40
Blues +4.5$1.87

Predicted Squads

EssendonEssendon Bombers: B: E.Gamble 14 A.Van Loon 26 HB: A.Morcom 25 B.Brown 36 M.Busch 28 C: M.Dyke 16 B.Walker 9 A.Radford 22 HF: K.Jacques 7 J.Wuetschner 21 B.Toogood - C 8 F: S.Alexander 24 P.Scott 32 FOLL: S.Wales 30 J.Vogt 10 M.Prespakis 4 I/C: G.Clarke 17 S.Van De Heuvel 27 G.Nanscawen 5 A.Clarke 33 M.Van Dyke 19 E: R.Tierney 23 D.Marshall 6 L.Cutting 18

Carlton BluesCarlton Blues: B: H.Cordner 21 V.Laloifi 8 HB: G.Lawson- Tavan 27 P.Trudgeon 26 G.Pound 6 C: L.Goss 20 A.McKay 5 E.Fitzpatrick 19 HF: M.Austin 22 D.Vescio 3 K.Skepper 4 F: I.Milford 28 C.Fitzgerald 36 FOLL: B.Moody 16 M.Hill - C 10 K.Sherar 25 I/C: B.Vickers 24 A.Velardo 1 J.Good 12 M.Anthony 14 D.Finn 17

West Coast Eagles vs Western Bulldogs

The solitary Saturday twilight game doesn’t exactly shape as one for the ages, though it could, at least, be a close one. The Eagles and the Dogs both sit in the bottom three having won just two games between them for the season, with both of those wins coming for the Eagles within the past month. Last week was the second of them, with a low scoring upset of the Bombers in a scrappy game seeing them leapfrog the Power and move into 16th place. The same couldn’t be said for the Dogs, whose woes continued – and then some. Having lost each of their first seven games they headed into their clash with the Swans, somewhat surprisingly, given a chance by the betting sites, but that proved unjustified as they were promptly smacked around to the tune of 57 points. But despite those contrasting results last weekend, this is as good a chance as any for the Bulldogs to ensure they don’t endure a winless season. In a scrappy affair, they can finally get off the mark in the penultimate round of the year with a close win.

BookmakerJames’ TipOdds
Bulldogs to win$2.40
Bulldogs 1-39$2.60
Bulldogs +5.5$1.87

Predicted Squads

West Coast EaglesWest Coast Eagles: B: Z.Wakfer 16 S.McDonald 35 HB: B.Smith 14 M.Webb 26 C.Thomas 3 C: S.Davison 28 A.McCarthy 11 C.Rowley 5 HF: D.Hooker 17 A.Bushby 15 E.Elkington 29 F: A.Franklin 19 K.Gibson 2 FOLL: L.Wakfer 1 E.Roberts 4 E.Swanson - C 13 I/C: M.Western 21 I.Lewis 6 E.Gooch 31 E.Hartill 25 K.Bartlett 20 E: E.Smith 22 A.Schmidt 7 J.Britton 18

Western BulldogsWestern Bulldogs: B: I.Grant 3 N.Ferres 16 HB: E.Georgostathis 17 I.Pritchard 4 S.Hartwig 15 C: R.Wilcox 37 J.Fitzgerald 23 G.Lagioia 12 HF: B.Gutknecht 18 G.Newton 5 B.Hunt 21 F: M.Brown 20 D.Carbone 28 FOLL: R.Cranston 30 E.Blackburn - C 2 K.Lamb 27 I/C: A.Edmonds 33 H.Woodley 19 D.Bateman 8 D.Carruthers 14 A.Smith 24 E: J.Tabb 31 J.Borg 25 S.Skinner 29

Richmond Tigers vs Geelong Cats

Both of these teams had huge games last weekend, and suffered contrasting results. For the Tigers, their finals hopes were kept alive with an 11-point win over the Hawks, and while they didn’t set the world on fire in that game they did what they needed to do to snap a three-game losing streak and keep themselves in the hunt. They’re now behind the Cats, who sit in eighth, on percentage alone – though it is a lot of percentage – after Geelong suffered a really disappointing defeat at the hands of the Magpies, going down 30-24. A win would have made finals very likely, but as it is they may need to win both of their last two games to make it given the size of the pack immediately behind them on percentage alone. For the loser of this game, finals will be tough – for Richmond nearly impossible – while a win, in contrast, would put their destiny in their own hands. This should be a good game with plenty on the line, but the Cats, despite their indifferent form of late, have the capacity to turn the tap back on, and they can do that this weekend and earn a tight win as a result.

BookmakerJames’ TipOdds
Cats to win$1.68
Cats 1-39$1.95
Cats -3.5$1.87

Predicted Squads

Richmond TigersRichmond Tigers: B: L.McClelland 16 R.Miller 15 HB: E.Sheerin 2 L.Graham 18 M.Shevlin 35 C: B.Lynch 20 G.Egan 1 K.Dempsey 19 HF: K.Cox 17 K.Brennan - C 3 C.Greiser 9 F: J.Woods 29 E.Yassir 27 FOLL: G.Seymour 28 M.Conti 4 S.Hosking 7 I/C: M.Eastman 8 P.Kelly 14 C.Wicksteed 24 C.Jones 5 S.Reid 25 E: S.D’Arcy 12 M.Macdonald 38 A.Peck 36

Geelong CatsGeelong Cats: B: C.Emonson 16 C.Gunjaca 26 HB: R.Webster 21 M.McDonald - C 11 G.Rankin 10 C: M.Bowen 1 G.Prespakis 41 N.Morrison 9 HF: S.Scott 15 J.Parry 5 K.Surman 7 F: C.Scheer 14 A.Moloney 45 FOLL: E.Hoare 46 Am.McDonald 3 D.Moloney 4 I/C: J.Crockett-Grills 6 Z.Friswell 20 K.Darby 8 R.Garing 12 R.Kearns 22 E: M.Bragg 44 G.Featherston 32 B.Plummer 19

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Sydney Swans vs Collingwood Magpies

Another huge game for both the teams in it and those around them kicks off Sunday’s action, with the 10th placed Swans hosting the sixth placed Magpies at Henson Park. The Swannies continued their pattern of alternating wins with losses, and did so in emphatic fashion, beating the hapless Doggies 96-39. That took their record to 4-4 and gave them a percentage boost which may prove pivotal in the race for the top eight, and another win this weekend would likely see them jump inside those finals spots. But they’ll have their work cut out achieving it. The Magpies have now won four games on the trot after losing three of their first four, last week holding off the Cats to secure a hugely important victory which may prove to be defining in their attempts to make the finals. At 5-3 they’ve now got a one-game buffer on the teams trying to jump inside the top eight, and one more win would secure their place in the finals. This one may very well go right down to the wire, but it's hard to go against the Magpies at the moment – they’re playing good footy and their confidence is right up, and in a tight game they can lock up their finals spot and likely end Sydney’s own ambitions.

BookmakerJames’ TipOdds
Magpies to win$1.34
Magpies 1-39$1.65
Magpies -14.5$1.87

Predicted Squads

Sydney SwansSydney Swans: B: B.Tarrant 20 J.O’Sullivan 24 HB: L.McEvoy 9 A.Mitchell 8 E.Heads 12 C: L.Steane 21 T.Kennedy 29 R.Sargent- Wilson 6 HF: C.Hamilton 10 R.Privitelli 19 B.Lochland 1 F: M.Ham 18 S.Hurley 25 FOLL: B.Smith 11 L.Gardiner 31 C.Molloy - C 5 I/C: A.Woodward 13 A.Hamilton 30 A.Whelan 22 P.McCarthy 15 A.Newman 16 M.Beruldsen 37 S.Ford 3 E.Vale 23

Collingwood MagpiesCollingwood Magpies: B: S.Casey 22 S.Livingstone 12 HB: T.White 29 R.Schleicher 18 S.Sansonetti 16 C: S.Rowe 7 M.Cann 25 J.Allen 6 HF: E.James 2 N.Morris-Dalton 17 E.Smith 33 F: B.Davey - C 3 G.Campbell 13 FOLL: S.Frederick 1 B.Bonnici 8 A.Sheridan 14 I/C: E.Morris 21 E.Fowler 15 C.Taylor 11 J.Lin 35 L.Brazzale 24 T.Brown 26 C.Blair 28 I.Evans 5

Adelaide Crows vs North Melbourne Kangaroos

It’s been a tough fortnight for both of these two teams. Losing has been rare for each of them this season, but last weekend they both suffered defeats at the hands of the other two teams sharing the top four with them in the Demons and the Lions. For the Crows, that loss to the Lions was their first of the season and saw them lose a handle on top spot, but importantly they remained in the top two, where if they can stay they will earn a home Qualifying Final. But if they lose this weekend, they won’t be there any longer. The Kangaroos are just a game behind them but have a superior percentage – no mean feat given the Crows’ sits at 210.8%. The Roos, too, are coming off a rare loss, having been comprehensively beaten by the Demons, but top four is still close to a lock and as mentioned, with a win this weekend they can jump inside the top four. This one shapes up as the game of the round both in terms of quality and what is on the line, but with the home ground advantage, it might be the Crows who walk off Norwood Oval smiling.

BookmakerJames’ TipOdds
Crows to win$1.53
Crows 1-39$1.75
Crows -7.5$1.87

Predicted Squads

Adelaide CrowsAdelaide Crows: B: Z.Prowse 4 S.Allan 39 HB: C.Biddell 12 C.Randall - C 26 S.Goodwin 11 C: M.Newman 17 A.Hatchard 33 N.Kelly 23 HF: R.Martin 5 C.Gould 1 E.Jones 2 F: D.Ponter 15 S.Thompson 14 FOLL: M.McKinnon 21 E.Marinoff 10 T.Charlton 25 I/C: J.Allan 32 H.Munyard 20 T.Levy 16 J.Waterhouse 19 K.Mueller 13 B.Tonon 28 D.Varnhagen 9 L.Whiteley 22

North Melbourne North Melbourne Kangaroos: B: E.Shannon 11 J.Ferguson 20 HB: E.O’Shea 14 S.Wright 17 E.Kearney - C 9 C: A.Smith 15 M.King 23 T.Gatt 8 HF: B.Eddey 3 K.Shierlaw 33 A.O'Loughlin 6 F: T.Randall 16 E.King 60 FOLL: K.Rennie 26 J.Garner 25 A.Riddell 7 I/C: T.Craven 5 L.Pullar 24 J.Bruton 35 N.Martin 28 E.Gavalas 22 L.Burke 29 R.Tripodi 19 L.McGrath 1

Hawthorn Hawks vs Yartapulti Power

Sunday’s middle game is clearly the feature of the day and the round, something which certainly can’t be said for the final game of Round 9. Neither the Hawks nor the Power have a whole lot to play for having won just two and one games respectively this season, though the Power did manage to secure two points with a draw in a solid performance last weekend. Still, this game won’t exactly set tongues wagging, with two teams which have struggled throughout the course of the year playing in a game from which there are no major consequences. They are at least playing some okay footy of late – the Power had their draw last weekend, while the Hawks’ close loss to the Tigers followed a surprise 14-point victory over the Swans. In a game which doesn’t shape up as being particularly memorable, the Hawks can notch up their third win of the season in a low-scoring affair.

BookmakerJames’ TipOdds
Hawks 1-39$1.72
Hawks 1-24$2.35
Hawks to win$1.45

Predicted Squads

Hawthorn Hawthorn Hawks: B: K.Ashmore 10 M.Eardley 17 HB: C.Baskaran 9 J.Richardson 11 E.Everist 25 C: K.Stratton 41 T.Smith 24 A.McDonagh 13 HF: G.Bodey 3 A.Gilroy 7 J.Fleming 5 F: M.Breed 4 B.Hipwell 19 FOLL: L.Wales 31 T.Lucas-Rodd - C 18 E.Bates 39 I/C: B.Deed 15 L.Elliott 20 A.Kemp 16 T.Luke 22 L.Stephenson 12 S.Locke 21 T.Fellows 8 A.Makur Chuot 34

Yartapulti PowerYartapulti Power: B: A.Foley 3 A.Borg 21 HB: E.O’Dea 2 J.Simmons 32 H.Dunn 24 C: C.Hammond 28 M.Moloney 9 E.Boag 17 HF: S.Syme 20 J.Mules 14 J.Teakle 15 F: A.Saint 8 G.Houghton 27 FOLL: M.Scholz 29 A.Dowrick 5 E.Phillips - C 1 I/C: J.Stewart 13 M.Keryk 26 Y.Duursma 7 K.Pope 44 H.Ewings 12 L.Johnson 23 O.Levicki 18 Li.Cockatoo-Motlap

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