State of Origin 2023– Betting tips & Predictions

State of Origin 2023

The State of Origin is one of the most anticipated rugby league events each and every year, pitting the best players from New South Wales against the best from Queensland across a three-game series. And on Wednesday, the 5th of June, the 2024 edition of the series kicks off at Accor Stadium. The Maroons will be trying to win for the third time in a row and extend their overall series lead to nine in the process, and while they will enter the series as favourite after naming a strong squad, they are far from a sure thing. With Game 1 taking place in New South Wales, the series opener is close to even money; check out our detailed preview of the game below.  

State of Origin Series

FixturesInfo (AEST)Home OddsAway Odds
Game 1 Accor Stadium, 5th of June at 8.05pm AEST $2.10$1.74
Game 2  MCG, 26th of June at 8.05pm AEST N/AN/A
Game 3 Suncorp Stadium, 26th of June at 8.05pm AEST N/AN/A

NSW Blues vs Queensland Maroons Game 1 Predictions

State of Origin 2024 has arrived. One year after the Maroons won the first two games to secure their second consecutive State of Origin Shield, the 43rd edition of the biggest rivalry in rugby league will kick off at Accor Stadium on Wednesday. And it is expected to be close. The Maroons will head into the series as favourites, but with the series opener being held in New South Wales heartland, it’s tough to split the two in Game 1. In recent times, the Blues have been tough to beat on their home soil, winning four of the last five Origin games which have taken place in Sydney, the last three of which came in series that they ultimately lost. That history would suggest that they are a good chance to take out this game, but of course history is just that and the Maroons have plenty of reason to believe that they can upend that trend on Wednesday night. 
The visitors will trot out a lethal line-up underpinned by stars with plenty of experience on the State of Origin stage. Daly Cherry-Evans will lead the way at halfback for Billy Slater’s as he has done so ably for so long, while Ben Hunt and Harry Grant will share hooker duties. Add in Valentine Holmes and Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow at centre, and names like Reece Walsh terrorising the Blues defence, and you have a team that is capable of putting plenty of scoreboard pressure on the opposition. 
Of course, as is always the case in these games there will be no shortage of talent on the other side of the coin as well, and the Blues will be buoyed by a front-row rotation consisting of Payne Haas, Jake Trbojevic and Spencer Leniu which may be the area in which they have the biggest advantage. But perhaps the most important part of the field for the home side will be the halves. Nicho Hynes and Jarome Luai will be side by side for the first time in a halves combination which has the potential to be incredibly dangerous, and if they are both on their game could prove to be the difference. Equally, however, both are also players who have in the past failed to play at their absolute best when the battle intensifies, and the State of Origin arena is about as intense as it gets. How those two perform will go a long way to determining not just who wins this game, but who wins the series. 
The Blues also head into this game with a new coach after Brad Fittler’s tenure finally came to an end, paving the way for Michael Maguire to take the reins. One of Maguire’s first statements was to overlook previous captain and stalwart of the Blues’ team in James Tedesco, but with Dylan Edwards having to withdraw from the squad due to a quad injury, Tedesco has been a late call-up. He will have plenty to prove in his 23rd Origin appearance. 
This is far from an easy game to pick, and each side has good reason to believe they can come away victorious in Game 1. There is never any shortage of motivation during a State of Origin game, but the Blues in particular desperately need to win this game. Losing on their home soil in the series opener would spell disaster for Maguire in his first game as coach given that they would subsequently have to win at Suncorp Stadium in order to take the series; something that they have managed just twice in their last ten efforts. For the neutrals, a Blues win at Accor Stadium would make for a far more interesting series moving forward, and they can get the job done despite entering the game as slight underdogs. As mentioned, Hynes and Luai are capable of proving the difference – either positively or negatively – in what should be a tight contest, and with big games from them the Blues can kick the series off with a close win on their home soil.  

BookmakerJames’ TipOdds
PlayUp Blues to win $2.05
Bet365 Blues +1.5 $1.95
TopSport Under 36.5 total match points $1.89

Predicted Squads

Queensland Maroons: 1 James Tedesco, 2 Brian To'o, 3 Stephen Crichton, 4 Joseph-Aukuso Suaalii, 5 Zac Lomax, 6 Jarome Luai, 7 Nicho Hynes, 8 Jake Trbojevic, 9 Reece Robson, 10 Payne Haas, 11 Liam Martin, 12 Angus Crichton, 13 Cameron McInnes. Bench: 14 Isaah Yeo, 15 Haumole Olakau'atu, 16 Spencer Leniu, 17 Hudson Young Reserves: 18 Matt Burton, 19 Luke Keary, 20 Mitchell Barnett. 

NSW Blues: 1 Reece Walsh, 2 Xavier Coates, 3 Valentine Holmes, 4 Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow, 5 Murray Taulagi, 6 Tom Dearden, 7 Daly Cherry-Evans, 8 Reuben Cotter, 9 Ben Hunt, 10 Lindsay Collins, 11 Jaydn Su'A, 12 Jeremiah Nanai, 13 Patrick Carrigan, Bench: 14 Harry Grant, 15 Moeaki Fotuaika, 16 J'maine Hopgood, 17 Selwyn Cobbo Reserves: 18 Felise Kaufusi, 19 Brendan Piakura, 20 Ezra Mam. 

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